Mets -125 over Phillies for MLB Picks

Steven Suarez

Saturday, May 10, 2014 2:16 PM GMT

As of now, the Mets and Phillies have identical records, but that will change tonight in game two of this series between division foes. We've broken down the MLB betting odds and have come up with our final decision inside.

Odds Overview
The Phillies won last night's opener in extra innings. For this evening's game, they're listed as +115 underdogs. You can side with a Mets win at roughly -125 on the money-line. The total is staying firm at seven runs.

 

[gameodds]3/263720/?r3=43-19-349/dec&r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

Philadelphia Phillies (Kyle Kendrick)
Losers of five of their last six, the Phillies can't be too high on confidence right now. They've dropped into a tie with the Mets in the basement of the NL East.

Kyle Kendrick gets the start tonight in hopes that he'll be able to log his first winning decision of the season. The righty is 0-3 with a 3.58 ERA and 1.41 WHIP.

Five days ago Kendrick was solid against Toronto, going seven innings and surrendering seven hits and three earned runs. He got absolutely zero run support though and wound up getting an unlucky loss to his name.

Kendrick has allowed only six earned runs in three road starts so far in 2014 and also posted great numbers against the Mets in 2013. He was 3-1 with a 3.04 ERA in four appearances against David Wright and company.

On the hitting side of things, Chase Utley and Marlon Byrd are the only Phillies hitting over .300 this season. They would love to get more production out of the likes of Ryan Howard (.234), Domonic Brown (.233) and  even young Cody Asche, who's batting just .229. 

 

New York Mets (Dillon Gee)
The month of May has been rough as can be for the Mets so far. They've gone 1-7, with their only win coming at Coors Field in the series finale against the Rockies.

Once four games above .500, New York is now two games under, though at least the NL East is completely wide open this year. The Mets are only three games back of first place at the moment.

Even more encouraging, tonight they send out Dillon Gee, who's been the most reliable starter for the club so far this season. He's 3-1 with a 2.51 ERA and 1.05 WHIP and opposing batters are hitting just .205 against him overall.

Gee has been on a roll lately, posting four straight quality starts. He's allowed only two earned runs over his last 27 innings of work, which has dropped his ERA from 5.03 all the way down to 2.51. In Gee's latest start, he held the MLB's best offense (Colorado) to only six hits and zero runs in a 5-1 win at Coors Field.

Gee has pitched four times at home in 2014 and has gone 1-1 with a 2.89 ERA. However, he really struggled against the Phillies last year, going 1-2 with a dreadful 9.00 ERA in four meetings.  

 

MLB Pick
Though Gee was a mess against Philadelphia in 2013, we think he'll pitch well tonight and lead the Mets to a win.

The Phillies, when you delve deeper, haven't exactly been crushing the ball, ranking 24th in the majors in runs scored thus far, and we foresee them struggling to get much going here in game two of the series.

In short, we trust Gee more than Kendrick at this point in time, and the Mets have to be incredibly desperate to find that winning feeling again. Take New York on these short MLB odds to get the much-needed victory for your MLB picks.

MLB Pick: Mets -125