Marlins vs. Braves Preview, MLB Picks & Betting Odds

Joe Gavazzi

Monday, April 13, 2015 6:36 PM UTC

Monday, Apr. 13, 2015 6:36 PM UTC

Before placing your MLB pick on this matchup tonight between the Miami Marlins and the Atlanta Braves, it's important to inspect the odds, betting trends and matchups first.

Miami Marlins (Latos) vs. Atlanta Braves (Miller) (-110) 7:10 ET
Miami Marlins visit the Atlanta Braves for this 7:10 ET start at Turner Field. The MLB odds are pretty close.  This is a battle of division rivals which saw Atlanta sweep the 3-game set at Marlins Park to open the season.  Those victories came by a combined score of 16-3.  That was part of a 1st week which saw Miami go 1-5 at home vs. the Braves and Rays, while Atlanta went 5-1 with their sweep of Miami and taking 2 of 3 on this field from the Mets.  At a value price that is near EVEN, we will gladly line up with Atlanta in their home park.  

Much was expected from Miami this season after they improved from 62 to 77 wins last year.  This year, projections are for them to at last get to the plus side of .500.  The lineup is loaded with hitting stars including Stanton, Ozuna and Yelich.  The Marlins have among the best outfields in baseball.  But, the rotation is a major question mark.  Especially, until Jose Fernandez makes his expected return in June.  Till then, the Marlins will live off emerging star, Alvarez, and hope that acquired veteran starters such as Latos, Haren and Koehler have something left in the tank.  That certainly was not the case with today’s starter Matt Latos, who repeatedly announced that he was embarrassed by last week’s start against these Braves, when he lasted just 2/3 IP, allowing 7 runs in a 12-2 loss.  But, the fact that he was embarrassed is no guarantee that he can turn things around in less than a week’s time against a team that ripped him.  

Atlanta’s win total dropped precipitously last year, as the Braves went from 96 to 79 wins.  Preseason prognosticators expect another drop in that win total this year.  Gone is the offensive punch of Heyward Upton and Gattis.  That leaves emerging stars such as, Markakis and Eric Young, to fill the void.  But, the Atlanta rotation looks far more solid at this time.  After 6 games, only 13 runs have been scored against the Braves.   Today’s starter is Shelby Miller, acquired from St. Louis in the off-season.  In his first start in an Atlanta uniform, Miller led the Braves to a 2-0 victory against these Marlins.  He worked 5 innings, allowing just 4 hits with 4Ks.  No fear if he only lasts that long tonight, because the Atlanta bullpen, anchored by Craig Kimbrel, has allowed just 1 run in 20 1/3 IP.

These teams have started in an opposite way that was predicted.  But for a MLB pick at this value price , we will follow the momentum of last week. 

MLB Picks: Take Atlanta Braves -103 at Pinnacle 

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