Marlins vs Braves High Scoring Affair Sunday's MLB Pick Of The Day

Ross Benjamin

Sunday, July 3, 2016 2:00 PM UTC

Sunday, Jul. 3, 2016 2:00 PM UTC

Check this betting preview on Sunday night’s nationally televised game between Miami and Atlanta. Go inside to read this compelling article which concludes with a free MLB pick.

Special Edition of ESPN Sunday Night Baseball
The Marlins and Braves will play the finale of a four games series on Sunday night. Atlanta routed Miami at home on Saturday by a 9-1 score for their second win in three days over the Marlins. Tonight’s game is a landmark event, and will be played at the famed US Military base in Fort Bragg, North Carolina.

It will mark the first time any professional sporting event has ever been played at a United States military base. The opening pitch is slated for 8:05 PM ET and it will be televised by ESPN. 


Fort Bragg Field
This will be the debut event at this quaint and pristine ballpark. The seating capacity is 12,500. The construction of this beautiful venue began this past March and was just recently completed to meet MLB standards. Fort Bragg Field's dimensions are 331 feet down the lines, 387 feet in the alleys and 405 to dead centerfield. The playing surface has 100,000 square feet of 419 Bermuda Turfgrass and 250 tons of infield clay.


Starting Pitchers
Miami will go with southpaw Adam Conley on the mound this evening. Conley has struggled over his last three starts on the road, evidenced by a large 7.31 ERA and 1.63 WHIP during those outings.

It will be Matt Wisler who gets the nod on Sunday for Atlanta. Wisler has been in terrible form during his previous five starts, posting a lofty 6.59 ERA and 1.76 in those appearances. The Braves saw four of those five games go over the total.


Highly Profitable Betting Angle
Current MLB Odds at Heritage has a posted total of 8.5 for this matchup. The Braves have averaged just a paltry 3.4 runs scored per game this year. The Atlanta bullpen has compiled a cumulative 4.25 ERA to this point. Miami starter Adam Conley has a 3.90 ERA during 16 starts in 2016. All of these statistical factors combine to qualify for a successful MLB betting system which has passed the test of time.

Any team (Atlanta) with a total of 8.5 to 10.0, averaging 3.8 or less runs scored per game, and their bullpen has a 3.75 to 4.50 ERA for the year, versus a National League starting pitcher who possesses an ERA of 3.75 to 4.50, resulted in those games going 37-14 (72.5%) over the total since 1997. The average total in those 51 games was 8.8, and there was an average of 10.5 runs scored per outing.  


Final Take and Pick
Miami has gone 26-14 (65%) over the total in away games this year. They will be facing an Atlanta team this evening which has a -1.3 run per game differential this season. Miami is 10-1 over the total in away games in 2016 when facing teams which have a -1.0 or worse run per game differential. Those eleven outings average a combined 11.4 runs scored per game.

The usually light hitting Braves have scored a combined 22 runs during the first three games of this series. Atlanta has gone 8-3 over the total in their 11 games against Miami this season.

This has all the earmarks of a high scoring affair, and one of my Sunday MLB Picks will further be indicative of such.

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Free MLB Pick:  Over 8.5 -110
Best Line Offered:  at Heritage

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