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Mariners vs. Angels MLB Picks and Odds Analysis

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Mariners vs. Angels MLB Picks and Odds Analysis
Justus Sheffield #33 of the Seattle Mariners. Abbie Parr/Getty Images/AF

Thursday’s baseball betting card includes a mishmash of series finales and series openers. One of the latter pits a pair of middling teams in the AL West where the Los Angeles Angels host the Seattle Mariners.

Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels

Thursday, June 03, 2021 – 09:38 PM EDT at Angel Stadium

Third place in the division is realistically the only thing up for grabs when these two get together. Seattle arrives in Anaheim holding down third place and dragging at 2-game skid that has dropped the Mariners to a game below .500. The Angels are two games behind Seattle in fourth place, and on the rise with wins in six of their last nine.

Keeping teams off the scoreboard has been a challenge for both clubs as the 4-game series gets underway, and the pitching matchup for the opener doesn’t hold a lot of promise of that changing. Justus Sheffield (4-4, 4.96) takes his turn in the Seattle rotation opposite Griffin Canning (4-3, 5.40), and Intertops (visit our Intertops Review) has the Angels -155 while most outlets are carrying an 8½-run total that leans to the high side.

‘Over’ Cashes in 3 of Sheffield’s Last 4 Starts

What started as a promising homestand for the Mariners ended on a sour note with consecutive setbacks to Oakland. Seattle won the first five games of the stand, sweeping four from the lowly Rangers while holding them to just six runs in the series. After beating the A’s on Monday in extra innings, the Mariners dropped the final two contests and were outscored 18-6.

It was a mixed month of May for Sheffield who had two good outings, two poor efforts, and one that was so-so. The so-so start came against the Rangers last Friday at home where the southpaw went five innings and allowed two runs in a 3-2 Mariners win as -120 chalk on the betting odds. It marked his third consecutive assignment without allowing a home run, though control issues still plague the Tennessee native with 12 walks against just 15 strikeouts in his last 27 IP.

Sheffield will be looking to repeat his performance against the Angels a little more than a month ago, the 25-year-old tossing six shutout frames in a 2-0 Seattle home win. He was knocked around in a couple of losses at Angel Stadium last season, surrendering 10 runs in 7+ innings. Shohei Ohtani is 0-for-7 lifetime against Sheffield.

Halos Last In AL Giving Up 5.25 RPG

Joe Maddon’s club enjoyed a day off on Wednesday after splitting a pair in San Francisco to begin the week. That trip started off with a split in a 4-game set at Oakland, and Angels hurlers looked better than usual on the journey allowing just 17 runs in the half-dozen contests. Canning didn’t pitch on the trip, and will be pitching with 7-days rest on Thursday.

Home runs have been the issue for Canning, opponents cracking 10 of them in his nine assignments, two of which he didn’t allow a long ball. The Angels won both games that Canning didn’t surrender a bleacher bomb, and they managed to win his outing last Wednesday at home despite the Rangers popping two. A slight underdog at the best betting sites, Canning worked the first six innings and allowed three runs in a 9-8 triumph.

One of the games Canning didn’t serve up a homer was in Seattle against the Mariners on May 1. The 25-year-old worked into the sixth with just one unearned run and a season-high nine strikeouts on his scorecard. Canning owns a 4.30 ERA across 102.1 career innings at Angel Stadium, 5.63 in 16 frames this season.

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This is the second series between the division rivals this season after the Mariners won two of three in Seattle a little more than a month ago. Two of those contests went past totals in the 8-8½ range as the clubs combined to score 26 runs in the first two games of the set. The Mariners won four of the seven clashes at the Big A last season, totals going 4-3 O/U in those matchups and 11-6 O/U dating to the 2019 campaign.

All signs point to a pretty average day in Anaheim weather-wise. The thermometer should be right around 70° at first pitch with clear skies and a 5-8 mph southerly breeze (out to left). Most of the early action by scoreboard bettors has been on the ‘over,’ and that’s certainly tempting giving the pitching matchup and the wind blowing out. But I’m liking Seattle even more for my MLB picks.

Free MLB Pick: Mariners Moneyline +141 at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

Mariners ML(+141)
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*The pick reflects the line at the moment the writer made the play, the odds at the beginning of this article show the live line movement. Since the lines might vary, don’t forget to refer back to our live odds.