Mariners Look to Bounce Back vs Indians This Monday

Drew Martin

Monday, June 6, 2016 5:00 PM UTC

Monday, Jun. 6, 2016 5:00 PM UTC

Our handicapper brings us a few key metrics that point to the home team being the right side when Indians meet the Mariners, so read on and profit from the Free MLB Pick.

The Seattle Mariners play host to the Cleveland Indians tonight for the opener of a four game set. Cleveland remained unbeaten in five outings this month with a 7-0 beat down of the Royals on Sunday, outscoring the defending world champions 25-6, including 20-2 the final three games, as part of a four-game home sweep.

The Mariners have not fared nearly as well dropping four of their last five, including coming in off of a three game sweep at the hands of the Texas Rangers. Although, it appears to look like the Mariners are the team to fade in the near future, a few key metrics point to the home team being the right side tonight in Safeco.

The Mariners will turn to James Paxton for the second time this year in place of the injured Felix Hernandez, who will likely be out another couple weeks. Paxton gave up eight runs to the Padres, but only 3 were earned. The 27 year old lefty struck out 7 and gave up 10 hits over 3 2/3 innings in Wednesday's 14-6 loss at San Diego. Despite the rough outing, the former Kentucky Wildcat owns a 12-9 record and 3.25 ERA in 31 career starts after going 3-4, 3.90 in 13 turns a year ago.


Paxton gave up 3 earned runs over 4 2/3 frames in a 5-3 home loss on May 28, 2015 in his lone start versus the Indians. Paxton seems to think having the first-start jitters out of the way will help. "I was just way too amped up," Paxton said. "I was going a little bit too fast and didn't get my feet set to throw the ball. I just tried to do too much and was going too quickly, and that first inning got away from me."

Trevor Bauer will attempt to pick up his first win in nearly a month as he gets the start for the first place Indians. He is 0-4 with a 6.94 mark in four starts and a relief appearance against the Mariners who have had a few players see him really well, including Nelson Cruz going 5 for 7 with a home run and a double, also Kyle Seager is 5 for 12 with a home run and a double. Bauer saw his winless streak reach four starts with his second straight no-decision Wednesday versus Texas, as he permitted three runs on four hits and three walks in seven innings. The 25-year-old UCLA alum has seven starts this year giving up exactly three runs on five occasions. Bauer gave up two runs versus the Mariners in only two innings of work on April 21 and has posted a 6.45 ERA while losing each of his four career starts against them.

The Indians have struggled a bit vs southpaws and with James Paxton’s huge uptick in velocity his last time out, averaging 98 mph on his fastball, it looks to be a prime bounce back spot for the Mariners and the young lefty. On the other side, the Mariners bats have been one of the hottest lineups in baseball the last week with a team OPS over .850. I recommend an MLB Picks on the Mariners tonight at the moderate favorite price offered by the MLB Odds

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Free MLB Pick:  Mariners -117
Best Line Offered:  at YouWager

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