Mariners-Indians: Carrasco, Weather to Keep Seattle Bats in Check

carlos carrasco

Matthew Jordan

Friday, April 27, 2018 3:43 PM UTC

Friday, Apr. 27, 2018 3:43 PM UTC

Looks to be a starting pitching mismatch on Saturday afternoon (4:10) from Progressive Field as the Seattle Mariners play the third of a four-game set in Cleveland.

Seattle Mariners at Cleveland IndiansFree MLB Pick: Indians RLBest Line Offered: BetOnline

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Saturday could well be the busiest day in the majors this season because there are 17 games scheduled – of course, there are only 30 teams. However, the Dodgers are playing two at the Giants and the White Sox and Royals also have a doubleheader because of earlier postponements. There are eight matinees on the schedule (starting before 5 p.m. ET), and we’re here to look at Mariners-Indians with a 4:10 ET start.

Could the Mariners and Indians meet in the postseason? Not impossible as Cleveland is a heavy betting favorite to win the AL Central again and is the only team above .500 in that awful division. Barring major injury, the Tribe will run away with that. Seattle isn’t winning the AL West, not with the Astros and Angels in front of them. Perhaps the Mariners could get a wild-card spot. I mention all this because this weekend is the last time that Seattle and Cleveland play in the regular season. The Tribe opened the year losing two of three in the Pacific Northwest, all one-run games.

It’s not usually noteworthy when a set-up man goes on the disabled list, but Indians lefty Andrew Miller is no normal set-up man. He landed on the DL Thursday after suffering a hamstring strain Wednesday against the Cubs. That’s a significant loss as Miller is 1-0 with a save and four holds, not allowing a single run in 11 appearances. He has 17 strikeouts and just six hits allowed in 10 innings. If the Indians have a big lead or big deficit in this game, missing Miller won’t matter. It will in a close game, though. Miller is one of just three pitchers to have thrown at least 10 innings and not allowed an earned run this season. Teammate and closer Cody Allen is another.

Seattle is 6-6 in day games this year. Cleveland is 5-3.

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Almost hit this one to ... Mayfield.#RallyTogether pic.twitter.com/Uk2cCtya67

— Cleveland Indians (@Indians) April 27, 2018
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Probable Pitchers: Leake vs. Carrasco

Last August, many didn’t understand what the Mariners were thinking when they sent a prospect to St. Louis for Mike Leake. He’s a decent pitcher who eats innings but is owed $48 million over the next three seasons including this one. He also holds an $18 million mutual option with a $5 million buyout for '21. That’s way too much money for someone of Leake’s caliber. The Cards were so happy to dump him they kicked in $17 million. The Mariners were thin in the rotation last season and hoping to make a wild-card push. Didn’t happen.

Leake (2-2, 6.59) was solid enough in his first three starts, including allowing two runs in a season-high seven innings on April 1 in a victory over the Indians. However, two starts ago Leake was hit around for five runs in six innings in a loss to Houston. On Monday, he was battered by a lousy White Sox team for eight runs and 12 hits in just 3.1 innings. The first seven Chicago batters all had hits. Leake is allowing batters to hit .304 off him and has a 1.61 WHIP. He’s one of those guys who pitches to contact.

Cleveland’s Edwin Encarnacion is 2-for-8 career off Leake with a double and homer. Jose Ramirez is 2-for-7 with a homer. Francisco Lindor 3-for-9. Yonder Alonso 4-for-12 with two doubles.

The Indians’ ace is two-time Cy Young winner Corey Kluber, but Carlos Carrasco isn’t far behind. Carrasco (4-0, 2.31) is among the AL leaders in wins, innings and WHIP (0.86). Batters are hitting just .195 off the right-hander. Carrasco has allowed just four earned runs over his past four starts after a shaky season debut in Seattle (5.2 IP, 5 ER but a W). He has been somewhat fortunate with a BABIP of .205 but also has an excellent 28/6 K/BB ratio.

Seattle’s Robinson Cano hammers him career, going 9-for-23 with two homers. Ryon Healy, just activated off the DL, is 4-for-10 with a homer. Ben Gamel has a homer and two doubles in three at-bats.

  • Mariners are 3-8 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Indians are 14-3 in their last 17 during game 3 of a series.
  • Indians are 22-8 in Carrasco’s last 30 home starts.

It’s supposed to be quite chilly in Cleveland: high of 42 with a couple of showers and a low of 35. The wind projects to be blowing from left field at around 10-12 mph. That’s not hitting weather. Carrasco should dominate so take the Indians on the run line for a Saturday MLB pick.

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