Make 'Under' Your MLB Pick When Indians Visit Mariners Wednesday

LT Profits Sports Group

Wednesday, June 8, 2016 4:34 PM UTC

Wednesday, Jun. 8, 2016 4:34 PM UTC

Carlos Carrasco is now back for the red-hot Cleveland Indians, and his presence on the mound helps make ‘Under' the MLB pick vs. Taijuan Walker and the Seattle Mariners Wednesday.  


MLB Record: 35-32-2, +6.35

It should be a relatively low scoring game in the Emerald City Wednesday night when recent returnee Carlos Carrasco and the Cleveland Indians (32-25, 15-13 away) pay a visit to fellow right-hander Taijuan Walker and the Seattle Mariners (32-26, 13-15 home) for the third game of a four-game series from Safeco Field in Seattle, WA at 10:10 ET in a game available on ROOT.

The posted total at Heritage Sports is 7½ for this contest with the current MLB odds on the ‘under’ set at a positive +105.


Tribe Surged Into First Place
Many experts predicted that the Indians would win the American League Central this year due to their fine pitching, and they did take over the division lead by virtue of a four-game sweep of the Kansas City Royals over the weekend. Cleveland won its sixth straight game overall to open up this series in Seattle 3-1 on Monday before having that winning streak snapped with a 7-1 loss last night, but the Tribe still lead the second place Royals by 2½ games.

Seattle kept pace with the first place Texas Rangers in the American League West by being the winning MLB pick last night to snap a four-game losing streak, leaving the second place Mariners four games behind Texas. Seattle pitchers had hit a rough patch that saw the team allow 44 runs over a four-game stretch, but the Mariners have recovered by allowing a total of seven runs in the last three games and now Walker looks to keep that turnaround going.


Carrasco Should be Stronger Second Start Back
Carrasco is part of that great Cleveland starting rotation that is supposed to take the Indians to new heights this year and we was off to a nice start to the season until he injured his hamstring in the third inning of an April 24th game vs. the Detroit Tigers and ended up on the disabled list for over a month, just returning last Thursday in the series opener vs. Kansas City.

Carrasco was not sharp in his first start back as he allowed three runs on nine hits in five innings with only two strikeouts, although his teammates bailed him out in a 5-4 victory. Even with that dull return, Carrasco is still 2-0 with a spiffy 3.00 ERA and 1.15 WHIP with 22 strikeouts vs. just six walks in 27 innings and the Indians going 5-0 as a team in the games he has started.

He can be expected to improve off of his last start today with that return outing now under his belt, especially after getting an extra day off and now going on five days rest, and remember that Carrasco has allowed a grand total of two runs and eight hits in 12.1 innings with 11 strikeouts in two career starts vs. Seattle.


Walker Has Dominated Cleveland
Walker is certainly in a rut right now as he has allowed at least four runs in five consecutive starts, which has seen him drop to 2-6 for the year although his still passable 3.94 ERA and 1.25 WHIP are good indications of how well he was pitching before this current slump. And Walker still has a nice ratio of 52 strikeouts vs. 15 walks in 59.1 innings, so he is fully capable of turning things around.

And is Walker had a choice of what team he would want to face to get out of a slump, the Indians would certainly be near the top of his list! That is because Walker has made three career starts vs. Cleveland all since the beginning of last year, and he allowed just one earned run over 20 innings in those starts, translating to a 0.45 ERA to go along with a 0.75 WHIP and 20 strikeouts vs. two walks, with Indians’ batters hitting .183 against him.

He now gets to face a Cleveland lineup whose worst batting split this season has been vs. right-handed pitchers on the road, with the Indians batting a meager .212 while averaging 3.72 runs in this circumstance.


Safeco Still a Pitcher’s Park
Finally, while the Mariners are better offensively this year, they still play in a pitcher’s park with games at Safeco Field averaging a combined 8.71 runs this year overall, a figure that can be easily lowered with this pitching matchup. Also, the ‘under’ is 7-3-1 in Walker’s last 11 starts overall and 5-2 in his last seven home starts, as well as 18-6-3 in the Indians’ last 27 road games vs. teams with winning records.

We look for those trends to continue with the talented Carrasco pitching better in his second start back and Walker continuing his fine pitching vs. the Indians, so go ‘under’ when Cleveland visits Seattle on Wednesday.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2991636, "sportsbooksIds":[93,1096,169,999996,180,139], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]
MLB Pick: Under 7½ (+105)
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

comment here