Low Scoring Affair in Cardinals vs. Nationals Signal 'Under' as Best MLB Pick

Ross Benjamin

Wednesday, April 22, 2015 12:44 PM GMT

Our resident MLB consultant examines the game on Wednesday between St. Louis and Washington. Join us in reading his thorough and revealing breakdown of this matchup. The betting preview article culminates with a money line selection.

Cards look to even Series versus Nationals
The Washington Nationals will host the St. Louis Cardinals on Wednesday at 7:05 PM ET. This will be the second of three-game series between these teams. The Nationals won the series opener on Tuesday 2-1 in ten innings. According to the MLB betting odds at BetOnline, Washington is a -110 money line favorite, and the posted total is 7.0. Since the start of the 2013 season, St. Louis has gone 11-3 versus Washington, and going under the total is 11-1-2.

 

Two Red-Hot Pitching Staffs
The St. Louis Cardinals starting pitchers have compiled an excellent 1.14 ERA during their previous six games. The bullpen staff has been superb this season, evidenced by Cardinals relievers having a collective ERA of 1.97. St. Louis will go with veteran right-hander John Lackey on the mound tonight. Lackey has posted a stellar 2.77 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP in his first two starts of the year. He’s coming off a terrific outing in a 4-0 home win over Milwaukee. In that outing, he pitched 7.0 innings, allowed just five hits, and struck out eight while walking only one.

The Washington Nationals starting pitching staff has also been terrific of late. In the last five games, Nationals starters have a cumulative 1.31 ERA. Similar to St. Louis, Washington relievers have also been lights out with a collective 2.27 ERA so far in 2015. Doug Fister will make his third start of the season tonight for Washington. Fister has posted an excellent 0.69 ERA in his first two outings of 2015.

Take a look at the Cardinals/Nationals series predictions

Cardinals Quick Report
The St. Louis Cardinals had their five win streak snapped in yesterday’s 2-1 loss, and they’re now 8-4 to start the season. The Cardinals squandered a plethora of scoring opportunities by going 1-for-11 with runners in scoring position, and leaving 13 men on base. It’s extremely odd to see a team score just one run on thirteen hits, but that’s exactly what St. Louis did on Tuesday. The Cardinals have gone under the total in five of their last six games, and have held opponents to two runs or less in each of those contests.

 

Nationals Update
As a result of their win on Tuesday, Washington has now gone 5-1 in their last six games, and has evened their record at 7-7 in 2015. After going over the total in six straight games, the Nationals have gone under the number in each of their previous two. The Nationals are hitting a paltry .226 as a team thus far. However, they’ve bailed themselves out by amassing 15 home runs during their first fourteen games, including a walk off game winner in the bottom of the 10th by Yunel Escobar last night.

 

Final Analysis
Neither of these teams is exactly knocking the cover off the ball to start the year. As I’ve already alluded to, the pitching for both teams has been nothing short of sensational. I hate reverting to the obvious, but this game has all the ear marks of a low scoring affair, and that’s exactly what I’ll do for one of my MLB picks on Wednesday.

MLB Pick: Cardinals and Nationals to go under the total of 7.0 at BetOnline

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