Los Angeles MLB Pick Favors Angels vs. Dodgers

Ross Benjamin

Monday, August 4, 2014 1:13 PM GMT

Our MLB betting odds specialist analyzes tonight’s game between the Angels and the Dodgers. Read this helpful MLB handicapping article, and find out what side has the best betting value.

Battle of LA
The Dodgers will host the Angels on Monday evening with the first pitch slated for 10:10 PM ET. According to MLB betting odds the Dodgers are a -120 money line home favorite and the posted total is 6.5. These teams have seen 6 of their last 7-meetings at Dodger Stadium stay under the total. The Angels have gone 15-7 in their last 22-games versus the Dodgers.

 

The Starting Pitchers
The Angels will go with right-hander Garret Richards on the mound for the series opener. Richards is 15-7 against the money this season with a very good 2.74 ERA. He’s been particularly effective on the road going 9-3 against the money with an outstanding 2.14 ERA and 0.93 WHIP. The Angels hurler has allowed just 5 home runs this season in 144 1/3 innings of work. That’s an incredible 1-homer allowed per 28.7 innings pitched.

The Dodgers will counter with right-hander Zack Greinke. The veteran has gone a stellar 7-2 against the money at home this season, with a solid 2.52 ERA, a 0.99 WHIP, and a better than 7:1 strikeout to walk ratio. He’s been a perfect 3-0 against the money in his last 3 at Dodgers Stadium, with a superb 1.29 ERA, and a better than 9:1 strikeout to walk ratio.

 

Tough Road Trip for the Halos
Tonight will be the 7th of a grueling 8-game in 8-day road trip for the Angels that’s seen them go 3-3 thus far. They started the trip by having to face the AL East division leading Baltimore Orioles, and then followed that with a 3-game set versus the red-hot Tampa Bay Rays. What’s a bit concerning from a MLB betting standpoint tonight for the Angels, pertains to their itinerary in the last 24 hours. They had to travel across three time zones (Tampa-to-LA), and will be playing with no rest to boot. Then they will be facing a Dodgers team which is in the tail end of an 8-game home stand. The Angels have gone a dismal 5-14 against the money in 2014 when the total is 7.0 or less. That clearly indicates to me they’ve struggled when facing premier starting pitchers.

 

Dodgers in a Groove
The Los Angeles Dodgers headed into Sunday’s home game versus the Cubs having won 7 of their previous 8-games. The NL West leaders have been a lot better on the road (34-23) this season than at home (29-25). However, they’ve gone a very profitable 19-5 at home in game 82 or beyond over the last 2-seasons, when facing an opponent with a winning record.

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Final Analysis
The Angels have too many things working against them heading into this game tonight. They’re going to need a huge pitching performance from Garrett Richards to overcompensate for some of the disadvantages that were previously detailed. The price on the home favorite in this one is a cheap one with all things considered.

Free MLB Pick: Dodgers -120 over the Angels at a trusted sportbook like BetDSI.