Look at the Run-Line for Angels vs. Rangers MLB Picks

Joe Gavazzi

Tuesday, September 9, 2014 5:39 PM UTC

Tuesday, Sep. 9, 2014 5:39 PM UTC

Make sure to join our handicapper as he takes a look at Tonight's game between the Los Angeles Angels and the Texas Rangers. Also find out why he is leaning towards the run-line for our MLB picks.


My late season, all-sport, concept of (SS) super-surgers vs. (TT) towel-tossers has again been working like clockwork in late season MLB action. Today, I have isolated a top of the ticket play in this category with supporting factors across the board. If you are ready to put your knee on the windpipe of your sportsbook, this is the play you have been waiting for. You can ride this money train all the way to your bank. I invite you to join me in what can be your biggest score of the MLB season. This game has “run line massacre” written all over it, and we look to take advantage of this with Tonight's MLB picks


In ascending to an MLB best 88-55, the Angels are the only MLB team to be playing greater than .600 baseball. In the process, they have opened up an 8-game divisional lead against their struggling rivals the Oakland A’s. As a result, the Angels are playing free and loose. LA has won 5 consecutive games, all on the road. In that timeframe, they have averaged 9.2 RPG. Though holding a comfortable lead in the standings, it is still a bit early in the season for LAA to begin to rest regulars and put it in cruise control. As such, this has all the makings of a super-surger vs. a towel-tosser. Knowing that LAA has won 10/13 from Texas sends a clear message for the expectations in this game. 


Compare Our Handicappers MLB Picks for the Angels vs. Rangers Game!


The Rangers are clearly at the opposite end of the spectrum. After 4 consecutive years of winning 90+ games, an injury-plagued season has seen Texas plummet to 54-89. The .378 winning percentage represents the worst in MLB. In the last 9 games, Texas has averaged just 1.9 RPG. Though the Rangers come off a rare victory, I consider that to be a negative. Only twice in the last 10 weeks has Texas won consecutive games. The pitching matchup is a mismatch as well! Since entering the rotation after the All Star break, Santiago has worked 8 starts, posting a 2.28 ERA. He fully understands he must now step up in place of injured starter Richards to maintain the high standards of the LAA rotation. Rangers’ Lewis comes off an injury-plagued season. He is clearly not returning to his form of old. Recent form shows Texas to be 1-4 in his recent starts. In that time, Lewis has allowed 22 runs in 33 IP.  Working from his home mound has seen Lewis at his worst. 13 starts over 69 IP have resulted in a 7.17 ERA. He will have little confidence against the big bats of the Angels. In 87 IP, Lewis has a 5.48 ERA. 


MLB odds currently list the Angels run line at -1 1/2 (+115) leaving us plently of value on the table. Run line players must note the huge inverted home/road dichotomy in these teams’ performance this season. 33 of 41 LAA road victories have resulted in wins of 2 or more runs. Conversely, 36/43 Texas’ home losses have been by 2 or more runs. 


In a classic example of a late-season SS vs. TT, look for the Angels to easily garner a multiple run victory against the worst team in baseball. 


MLB Pick: L.A. Angels -1 1/2 (+115) at 5Dimes

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