Look to Starting Pitchers for Betting Edge on Sunday 8/10

Ross Benjamin

Sunday, August 10, 2014 11:51 AM GMT

Sunday, Aug. 10, 2014 11:51 AM GMT

Our resident MLB betting odds and starting pitching guru analyzes a couple of divisional battles today. Read this revealing MLB handicapping article to find out where the betting value is in the games between the National/Braves and Tigers/Blue Jays.

Washington Nationals (Gonzalez) vs. Atlanta Braves (Wood) 8:05 PM ET
The Nationals starter Gio Gonzalez has struggled over his last 5-starts going 1-4 against the money with a very lofty 5.74 ERA. He’s been a far cry from the pitcher that went 21-8 with a 2.89 ERA for the Nationals in 2012. The Washington southpaw hurler was very shaky in his only start versus the Braves this season allowing 6 earned runs, 9-hits, and walked 4 in 6.0 innings.

The Braves starter Alex Wood has pitched much better than his money line record indicates this season, and most especially at home. In 12-starts at Turner Field, he’s posted an impressive 3.00 ERA, and compiled a better than 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Unfortunately the Braves have managed to go just 6-6 in those games. Wood has faced the Nationals twice this year, and was solid in those starts posting a 2.25 ERA. On a negative note, he’s gone 0-3 against the money in his last 3-starts with a poor 1.67 WHIP.

Advantage:  Something just doesn’t seem right with the Gio Gonzalez this season, and particularly in recent starts. Alex Wood has deserved a much better fate this season, and has been a victim of poor run support on several occasions. That should be alleviated tonight with all things considered. I’m going to give the slightest of betting edges here to Alex Wood over Gio Gonzalez & suggest you do the same at a sportbook like Bet365.

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Detroit Tigers (Price) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (Buehrle) 1:05 PM ET
The Tigers starter David Price has gone a perfect 5-0 against the money in his last 5-starts on the road, with a stellar 2.01 ERA, a 0.84 WHIP, and a better than 7:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Tigers southpaw has seen 9 of his last 11 stay under the total while posting a terrific 2.16 ERA, in addition to a 0.80 WHIP, and a 7:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Price has displayed impeccable control this season walking just 23 in 199 2/3 innings, or 1-walk per 7.8 innings pitched. He’s also gone 2-0 against the money versus Toronto this year with an excellent 1.17 ERA.

The Blue Jays starter Mark Buehrle has seen 3 of his last 4-starts go over the total. He’s certainly been a major contributor to that happening based on his large 7.32 ERA and mammoth 2.12 WHIP in those outings. Buehrle has gone 15-8 against the money in 2014, but is just 4-8 over his last 12. On a positive note, he’s been tremendous in 7-starts during the day this year posting a very good 1.98 ERA in those appearances.

Advantage:  Buehrle has been on a downward spiral for quite some time now after getting off to a torrid start to the season. He will be facing a Tigers lineup today that’s been unforgiving in 2014 when facing left-handed starting pitchers. The Tigers David Price has been nothing short of sensational over the last 2-months. The huge MLB betting edge to apply to your picks goes to David Price over Mark Buehrle.

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