Look at Millers Park & Globe Life for Saturday's Top Value 'Over'/'Under' MLB Picks

Ross Benjamin

Saturday, June 13, 2015 1:27 PM GMT

Saturday, Jun. 13, 2015 1:27 PM GMT

Our resident MLB handicapping professional has gone 10-2 with his totals of the day this week. Today he details two more MLB totals in the games between the Nationals/Brewers and Twins/Rangers.

Nationals (Ross) vs. Brewers (Nelson) 4:10 PM ET
The Nationals Joe Ross will be making just his second start of the season today. He was less than impressive in his 2015 debut by allowing 3 earned runs in 5.0 innings versus the Cubs. Washington has gone 20-12-1 over the total on the road this season, and that includes 5-1 during its last six away games. Their 33 road contests have averaged a combined 9.6 runs scored per game.

The Brewers starter Jimmy Nelson has been shaky in his three starts during day games in 2015. In those outings, he posted a lofty 5.71 ERA and 1.62 WHIP. Nelson has been prone to giving up the long ball at Miller Park in Milwaukee this season, evidenced by 7 home runs allowed in just 34 2/3 innings pitched. The Brewers have gone 20-10-1 over the total at home this year, and that includes 5-0 in their last 5 at Miller Park.

I like this National League battle to be a high scoring affair for one of my free MLB picks. When shopping for the best price on this total it was Pinnacle that provided that for me.

MLB Pick:  Nationals and Brewers to go over 8 (+100) at Pinnacle.

 

Twins (Pelfrey) vs. Rangers (Lewis) 4:05 PM ET
The Twins Mike Pelfrey has gone 4-0 under the total in his last four starts, posting an excellent 0.96 ERA, and compiling a better than 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Pelfrey has a stellar 2.28 ERA in eleven starts this year. Minnesota has gone 5-1 under the total in their last six, and scored 2 runs or less in each of those games.

The Rangers Colby Lewis has rebounded nicely in his previous two outings after a span of three consecutive awful outings. In his last two starts he posted a solid 3.21 ERA and 1.07 WHIP. Texas has gone 7-1 under the total in their last eight games.

These teams have gone 12-2-1 under the total in their 15 meetings since the beginning of the 2013 MLB campaign and that includes 7-0 in the seven played in Arlington, Texas. Minnesota has a paltry team batting average of .212 during their previous seven games, while Texas isn’t much better at .214 in the last seven. This has all the ear marks of a low scoring game, and one of my MLB picks on Saturday will indicate just that. BetDSI provided me with the most favorable price in that regard.

MLB Pick: Twins and Rangers under 7.5 (-105) at BetDSI

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