Look For Runs With Rockies & Nationals In The Series Finale

Colorado Rockies

Doug Upstone

Sunday, August 28, 2016 1:52 PM GMT

For those betting baseball, getting a read on Washington has not been easy lately. Since August 13th, the Nationals have gone on series on mini-runs of two to four games, both winning and losing.

Colorado Rockies vs Washington Nationals
Yesterday ended the brief two-game winning streak, losing 9-4 in extra innings. Does that make Washington a good bet to lose even as large favorites?

After being on the fringes of wild card contention, Colorado has lost four of five and 15 of 22 and will again miss the postseason.

On the year for those betting baseball, you're always friendly MLB handicapper has been doing his job for readers at 33-14, +15.35 units. On Sunday, we go after another winner for MLB picks.


 

Pitching Matchup - Bettis vs. Giolito
Pitching at Coors Field is no easy task, but Chad Bettis (10-7, 5.29 ERA, 1.51 WHIP) is not looking like he is going to be anything other than a journeymen starter. Bettis has a nice simple delivery with low 90's fastball that he will also cut and mixes in a slow curveball and changeup. Though the right-hander has a winning record, he's not been hard to figure out, giving up 172 hits in 146 and 1/3 innings. That equates to a .292 batting average allowed on the season. He is especially hittable early in the count, as if he has thrown one or fewer pitches to an individual batter, they have a ringing .386 batting average against Bettis.

Washington's scheduled starter is Lucas Giolito (0-0, 4.91, 1.91), with Reynaldo Lopez sent back to the minors. The 22-year has thrown 11 innings with the Nationals this season and command has been big problem with nine walks. Giolito does have mid-90's heater and good low-80's curve, but what needs to become more refined on the finer points of pitching. If he's all over the place, Colorado has the hitters to make it a short outing.

 

Offensive Numbers
Make no mistake, Colorado does have some very good offensive players, which is why they average 5.3 runs per game. Nevertheless, a true indication of the complete lineup card is when the Rockies hit the road, where average just 4.2 RPG, which is 20th in the majors. (As of 8/27) Nolan Arenado, Carlos Gonzalez, Charlie Blackmon and DJ LaMahieu all have proven they can stroke it any park, but even they do not come up with enough big hits when needed.

While Bryce Harper receives many of the headlines, the real MVP of this Washington team has been Daniel Murphy. The confidence he gained from last year's postseason has carried over, with Murphy leading the NL in hitting and second in RBI's and in the Top 10 in home runs. Though is a recent slump, Wilson Ramos has enjoyed a fine season and Jayson Werth has been spectacular in the clutch since May. If Harper starts to hit to skill, the Nationals will climb above current 4.9 RPG.

 

Betting Odds, History and Bullpen Numbers
The opening MLB odds at BetOnine has Washington as -185 money line favorites with a total of 9. On the season Colorado holds a 3-2 lead, with the Nationals 5-3 the last three years at home, with OVER listed at 5-2-1. When it comes to bullpen work, decided edge with Nats, ranked second in the league in ERA, with the Rockies 13th.

 

Game Outcome
With this kind of starting pitching, neither figures to be around by the sixth inning. At this point, we should be close eight runs with nearly a half a game to go. In Colorado's last 10 away outings, they are 8-2 OVER. Match that with Washington 9-3 OVER in their past dozen and they are 9-2 OVER if they permitted five or more runs in the prior contest.

I am putting my money on the OVER in the series finale.

 

Free MLB Pick: Over 9.5 -111
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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