Lock Yankees & Tanaka as Betting Trends Favors New York Over Struggling Rangers

Ross Benjamin

Wednesday, July 29, 2015 2:45 PM GMT

Wednesday, Jul. 29, 2015 2:45 PM GMT

Can Yankees continue on their torrid winning pace they’ve set in July? Will the Rangers be able to bounce back from an embarrassing loss on Tuesday? Read our betting preview & find the best MLB pick.

Rangers look to recover from Tuesday’s Humiliation
The Rangers and Yankees will clash tonight for their third of a four game series in Arlington at 8:05 PM ET. The Yankees have won each of the first two games of this series, including Tuesday’s 21-5 lambasting of the Rangers.

 

Starting Pitchers
Masahiro Tanaka will make his first ever career start versus the Rangers this evening. Tanaka has gone 10-3 in his team starts this year with a solid 3.64 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, and a better than 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The native of Japan is 3-0 in his last three team starts and displayed very good form in doing so. During those outings, he compiled a 2.82 ERA and an excellent 0.67 WHIP. Tanaka will be facing a Texas team tonight that has a .249 team batting average for the year. He’s gone a perfect 8-0 in his team starts this season when facing an American League opponent with a team batting average of .260 or less, and the Yankees won by an average of 4.6 runs per game. There’s a bit of a red flag with Tanaka which is worth noting. He’s allowed 5 home runs in 14 2/3 innings pitched during his previous two starts, and 15 home runs in 81 2/3 innings of work for the year.

Colby Lewis will look to get back on track for this evening after struggling over his previous four starts, evidenced by his large 9.00 ERA in those outings. Lewis has gone 8-0-1 over the total in nine starts at home this season with a lofty 4.95 ERA. The Rangers right-hander has allowed an alarming 7 home runs in 32.0 innings during his last five starts. He’s made one start versus the Yankees in 2015, and it certainly wasn’t anything to write home about. Lewis allowed 5 earned runs on 8 hits in 6 2/3 innings during a 10-9 Rangers win at Yankee Stadium.

 

Red-Hot July for “Bronx Bombers”
The Yankees have gone a sizzling hot 16-5 in their previous 21 games, and all of those contests have taken place in July. As a matter of fact, they’ve also won four in a row and are 8-1 in their last nine. “The Bronx Bombers” have outscored Texas by a cumulative score of 27-7 in the first two games of this series.

 

Reeling Rangers
Texas enters today on a three game losing streak, and has been outscored by a combined 40-14 during that time. The Rangers have gone a dismal 7-25 at home since 2014 after allowing 8 runs or more in their previous game. They’ve had very unusual home and away splits in 2015. Texas has gone a very good 31-24 on the road but they’re horrible 16-28 at home.

 

Final Analysis
These are two teams that are clearly headed in opposite directions. The Rangers bullpen has been taxed over the last week by the ineffectiveness of their starting rotation, and quite frankly they weren’t that good even before that occurred. I like the Yankees to win this game by a decisive margin for one of my MLB picks today. 5Dimes provides me with the most favorable MLB odds board regarding a run-line wager.

MLB Pick: Play on the Yankees -1.5 (+115) on the run-line at 5Dimes.

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