Lock Dodgers Smoking-Hot Run Line Wager as New York's Bats Struggle Continues

Ross Benjamin

Saturday, July 4, 2015 5:15 PM UTC

Saturday, Jul. 4, 2015 5:15 PM UTC

MLB handicapping professional provides us with a thorough betting article for Saturday’s game between the Mets & Dodgers. This extremely insightful piece culminates with a run line pick.

Mets and Dodgers in a July 4th Clash
The Dodgers and Mets will meet again on Saturday in the second of their three game series. The Mets took the opener on Friday 2-1 behind the stellar pitching of Noah Syndergaard. It also marked the first time they ever defeated the Dodgers with Clayton Kershaw on the mound. Kershaw had been 7-0 in his career team starts versus the Mets prior to last night.


Premiere Starting Pitching Matchup
The Mets ace Matt Harvey will be on the mound today. Harvey endured a bit of a rough patch during a stretch of four starts in which he was very prone to allowing home runs. During that period (5/23 to 6/10) Harvey allowed 8 home runs in 25.0 innings, and posted a lofty 7.20 ERA. Since that time, the Mets hurler has been outstanding, posting a microscopic 0.92 ERA, and didn’t allow a home run in any of those three starts.

The Dodgers best pitcher so far this season hasn’t been Clayton Kershaw. It’s been Zack Grienke who’s earned that distinction. Greinke has an excellent 1.58 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, and compiled better than a 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Even more amazing has been the Dodgers last three starts. In those outings he allowed no earned runs on just 11 hits and walked 3 during 20 2/3 innings pitched.


Mets continuing Offensive Woes
I touched upon this subject yesterday in my betting preview article but it’s worth repeating, the Mets have scored 2 runs or less in ten of their last eleven, and thirteen of the previous fifteen games. Needless to say, wagering on going under the total in Mets games has been a highly profitable venture. They’ve gone 14-3 under the total in their last seventeen games.


Dodgers off rare Home Loss
The Dodgers are now 27-14 at home this season following a 2-1 loss on Friday. That loss was even tougher to comprehend considering Clayton Kershaw was on the mound, and he was facing an opponent (Mets) that had been struggling to muster any kind of offense over the past three weeks. Similar to today’s opposition, they’ve played under the total with a high degree of regularity in recent games. The Dodgers are 8-3 under the total in their last eleven.   


Final Analysis
With all due respect to the Mets Matt Harvey, Zack Greinke is far and away the best pitcher in baseball right now. The struggling Mets bats will have to wait at least another day to get well. I like the home side to win this game by a decisive margin for one of my MLB picks on Saturday. Betonline has the best run-line price pertaining to making this wager.

MLB Pick: Play on the Dodgers -1.5 (-102) at BetOnline

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