Left-Handed Pitchers Will Lead to Lower Score at Dodger Stadium

Alex Wood

Friday, June 23, 2017 3:30 PM GMT

The L.A. Dodgers are back in first place in the top heavy NL West, with Colorado just 1.5 games behind and nipping at their heels. Those betting baseball understand this is litmus test for the Rockies.

Having just lost home series to Arizona in which their pitchers were bludgeoned for 29 runs, there are potential signs Colorado young pitchers who were thrown into the fire are wilting a bit. With Los Angeles hotter than a mouthful of habanera peppers in winning 12 of 13 and the last seven in row, rugged test for the Rocks.

Speaking of tests, I will have several at this location making MLB picks this weekend starting with this conflict, trying to better a 19-12 stretch.

 

Pitching Matchup - Freeland vs. Wood

Kyle Freeland (8-4, 3.32 ERA) was the eighth pick in the 2014 draft and in his rookie season he's emerged as Colorado's ace with Jon Gray still sidelined. Freeland relies on a heavy sinker, which induced ground balls 60 percent of the time. When asked what he would like to improve on, he quickly states "walks" with 32 in just over 81 innings. In two starts versus Los Angeles, Freeland has a 1.80 ERA, both Rockies victories.

Alex Wood (7-0, 1.90) is the first Dodgers hurler to be unbeaten after 10 starts since Orel Hershiser in 1985. Wood has always been well regarded by scouts, but quite injury-prone and extremely inconsistent until this season. Presently, the lefty is well above a strikeout per inning (72 vs. 61 innings), 66.2 percent of his balls in play are grounders and batters have a .180 average against his tosses. Wood is 3-2 with 5.59 ERA against Colorado in seven starts, however, this season he threw six shutout innings last month vs. the Rocks.

 

Two Hot Offenses Collide

With how both starting pitchers have been throwing, it would seem the hitters from each could face a tough time. Yet, it might not be that way at all because in each team's past seven contests they squaring up the barrel of the bats.

Colorado has averaged 6.3 runs per games and Los Angeles is at freaky 8.1 RPG. Both squads average 5.2 to 5.3 runs a night and are slowed a touch by port-siders, with each at 4.8 RPG.

 

Betting Odds, Head to Head and Bullpen Numbers

For MLB odds, L.A. has the look of Cali-cool and blown up from -195 to -225 over the Rockies with the total at 8. They split the first two games at Dodger Stadium this year, however, Los Angeles holds a decided 16-6 edge since 2015 at home with the UNDER 14-8. The Dodgers have the No.1 NL bullpen based on ERA (3.02) and Colorado is tops in save percentage at 81.8 percent in the NL.

 

The Winner Is...

While I believe the Dodgers will win, the money line is out of the question and I'm not convinced L.A. is a good bet on the run line. Though both offenses are smoldering, ground ball pitchers can slow any lineup if right. Finding Colorado is 9-1 UNDER on the road when facing lefty's and Dodger Blue is 11-2 UNDER after having a blow save, I will follow the information for picks.

Free MLB Play: Under 10.5Best Betting Line: at Heritage

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