Lean to DeGrom & Mets for Tonight's Matchup

Willie Bee

Saturday, April 15, 2017 3:14 PM UTC

Saturday, Apr. 15, 2017 3:14 PM UTC

The Marlins' late announcement for tonight's starting pitchers left the MLB odds on hold for Game 3 of a long weekend series in Miami against the New York Mets.

N.Y. Mets vs Miami Marlins  

Their 5-game win streak snapped, the New York Mets will try and start another string of dubyas Saturday when they continue their series in Miami against the Marlins. First pitch is slated for 7:10 PM (ET) with Jacob deGrom toeing the rubber for New York opposite Adam Conley for Miami. The rotation shuffle the Marlins went through after Thursday's series opener went 16 innings kept this game off the overnight lines, but SBR's live MLB odds will have the numbers as soon as they're released later this morning.

New York won the marathon Thursday, 9-8, as the clubs combined to use 15 pitchers. Miami came back with a 9th-inning walk-off decision last night for a 3-2 triumph as +140 underdogs. The Marlins have won three of the first five meetings this year, three of the five games bolting past the totals with another pushing a 7 run mark.

 Conley Likely Limited To 75 pitches

deGrom pitched well enough to win both of his starts so far but failed to figure into the final decisions that split into New York's win-loss columns. The Florida native went six innings each time, first at home against the Braves and then on the road vs. the Phillies, allowing just 11 baserunners total while striking out nine. He has historically been a better pitcher at home than on the road, but has a respectable 3.57 ERA in four career starts in Miami. Giancarlo Stanton has been his toughest out, batting .467 (7-15) with three homers off deGrom.

Conley threw 19 pitches in Thursday's extra-inning affair, suffering the loss when one of those tosses was deposited in the bleachers by Mets catcher Travis d'Arnaud. The former Washington State star had previously beaten the Mets in Flushing, going five innings with the only run allowed coming on a Lucas Duda long ball. The southpaw has a sparkling 1.48 ERA against New York in five starts and a couple of relief outings and has baffled Yoenis Cespedes along the way (1-13, 7 K).


Umpire Notes, Mother Nature & A Free Pick

Mike DiMuro, who celebrates the 20th anniversary of the first time he jumped in the majors later this summer, will have the plate this evening, his third game under the mask this season. The first two skipped past an 8½ run total and pushed an 8 run mark, a year after his plate assignments went 9-5 O/U. The New York native has worked the dish three times at Marlins Park, each game going to the visitors with totals running 2/1 O/U.

The roof was shut for Friday's contest, and the 20%-30% chance of rain in this evening's forecast might keep it closed tonight. If it is open, the first-pitch temp will be in the mid-to-upper 70s with a pretty stiff easterly wind (in from left) to deal with. Both bullpens are taxed and I expect deGrom and the Mets to be chalked around -150 which has me leaning their way for my free baseball pick.


Free MLB Pick: Mets -131Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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