Lean Dodgers -145 vs. Mets for MLB Picks

Jeff Grant

Thursday, May 22, 2014 12:39 PM GMT

Zack Greinke has been one of the best pitchers in baseball since the middle of last year, which gives the Los Angeles Dodgers a major edge over the New York Mets Thursday night.

Aiming for a sweep
Los Angeles has won the first two games of this series against New York, including a 4-3 victory as -123 road favorites Wednesday, with Adrian Gonzalez, Yasiel Puig and Hanley Ramirez each leaving the yard.

Puig is hitting .408 with seven home runs and 23 RBIs over the last 19 games, while the Dodgers have won 11 of their last 12 games against the Mets.

MLB handicappers will find that the club is 36-15 in its last 51 games away from Dodger Stadium when taking on teams with a losing record.


Struggling to score
New York has dropped six of its last seven games—scoring just 12 combined runs in the losing efforts over that span. 

Mets third baseman David Wright entered last night’s affair with a .285 batting average, but he’s homered just once and averaged one extra-base hit every four games since Opening Day.

It’s important to point out that the franchise is a terrible 19-57 in its last 76 games as home underdogs.

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Greinke
Dodgers starting pitcher Zack Greinke (7-1, 2.03 ERA) has allowed two or fewer runs in 21 consecutive regular-season outings since July 30 of last season, as he comes off a 7-0 road victory over the Arizona Diamondbacks last time out. 

The right-hander has gone 4-1 with a 1.65 ERA in five road appearances, with opposing hitters batting .260 against him (.214 at home).

Greinke has registered a 9-1 record and 2.61 ERA in his last 14 starts versus NL East opponents, while he’s tallied a 1-1 record and 3.21 ERA in two career efforts against the Mets.


Niese
Mets starting pitcher Jonathon Niese (2-3, 2.54 ERA) was handed a 5-2 road defeat by the Washington Nationals last time out, as he surrendered five runs (three earned) and eight hits over four frames.

The left-hander is 1-2 with a 2.59 ERA in four home outings—not allowing a home run in 24.1 combined innings.

In four lifetime appearances versus the Dodgers, Niese has compiled a 1-0 record and 4.09 ERA.

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Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Dodgers as one of their MLB picks, with the Mets falling in defeat in six of Niese’s last seven trips to the mound as a home underdog. 

Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers -145