The 2016 MLB season starts in three weeks and the LT Profits Group continue their profiles of all 30 MLB teams to help with your MLB picks, today profiling the Los Angeles Dodgers.
The 2016 MLB season is now a mere three weeks away as it starts with three games Sunday, April 3rd, followed by the rest of the league beginning play Monday, April 4th. So in an attempt to help with your MLB picks, we are here profiling all 30 Major League Baseball teams in advance of opening day, and today we examine the Los Angeles Dodgers, who finished in first place in the National League West in 2015 at 92-70 before losing to the Mets in the NLDS.
For starters, here is a summary of the Los Angeles betting statistics for the 2015 season. Note that these stats are always for regular season games only and that the units won or lost are based on betting one unit every game, with those units and Over/Under records based on the closing lines from Pinnacle Sports.
Los Angeles Dodgers 2015 Betting Stats
The Dodgers may have won the NL West last season but they burned a lot of money on the road, where they finished seven games under .500 for a bad loss of -23.37 units, offsetting the profits from their banner home record of 55-26. In fact, the -11.22 units lost overall by the Dodgers ranked them 19th on the Major Leagues Money Standings, which is unusual for a division winner.
Next we move on to the Dodgers’ statistical summary for the 2015 season.
2015 Los Angeles Dodgers Team Statistics
|Runs per Game||4.12||19th|
The Dodgers won with starting pitching and power last season. Los Angeles had the best 1-2 punch in the Major Leagues in the rotation in Clayton Kershaw and Zach Greinke, with the latter now departed to become the ace of the Arizona Diamondbacks inside the same division, and the Dodgers ranked sixth in the majors in home runs and seventh in team OPS. The bullpen was a sore spot however, as was an inability to generate much offense without home runs.
2016 Los Angeles Dodgers World Series Futures
The Dodgers are the consensus fourth choice among National League teams to win the World Series behind the Cubs, Mets and Giants, with the latter San Francisco team favored to win the division. One reason for pessimism is obviously the loss of Greinke, and even with former manager Don Mattingly gone in favor of Dave Roberts, this team does not figure to hit for a particularly high average and the bullpen should struggle once again.
2016 Los Angeles Dodgers Batting Forecast
The best part of the offense is that Corey Seager will now be with the team right from opening day this season after being a mid-season call-up last year, and as such the ZiPS projections forecast him for around 20 home runs, 85 RBI and a 3.9 WAR. It is still not certain how Roberts will handle the rest of the lineup though.
ZiPS has better than 3.0 WAR forecasts for both Yasiel Puig (3.5) and Joc Peterson (3.1), but both of those forecasts assume that both will play every day, which they may or may not with Los Angeles having an abundance of outfielders. Also, the Dodgers look very weak at second base where, barring an upgrade, they may use a platoon between Enrique Hernandez and Chase Utley.
2016 Los Angeles Dodgers Pitching Forecast
Obviously, Kershaw is one of the best pitchers in all of baseball and he could win his fourth Cy Young Award if his ZiPS predicted WAR of 7.8 comes to fruition. The Dodgers know what they have in Kershaw, and that is perhaps the greatest pitcher of his generation, but the real question is what do they have over the rest of the starting rotation?
No one can replace Greinke as a second starter and the Dodgers did not go after a stud to try and do so, instead going for depth by adding Scott Kazmir and Japanese import Kenta Maeda to go along with last year’s mediocre third starter Brett Anderson. Maeda is the wild card, although his numbers in the Japanese League were not as dominating as other pitchers that came over from the other side of the Pacific. And then, the bullpen remains basically the same as last year.