Welcome to our newest series: MLB player props of the day. We split a pair of picks Monday thanks to Kris Bryant, and now that we are 1-1 and up 0.20 units let's try and top that outcome on Thursday’s short slate.
At 24, Washington's Harper is having yet another fantastic season, and his tour of dominating right-handed pitching should continue tonight in one of my favorite MLB rivalries, the Beltway Series.
The Orioles are in Nats Park tonight, and with Alec Asher on the hill for the O’s Harper is about to go off. He has struggled lately thanks probably in part to the long road trip Washington just returned from. Because of this lopsided schedule, Harper only has 89 at bats in his home park, but he is hitting a cool .326 in D.C. and his power numbers go way up when he gets to play at home.
Harper’s isolated power is .380 at home compared to .120 on the road. He has a .443 wOBA at home, and it gets even better against righties. Harper owns a .501 wOBA at home against right-handers with 8 home runs, 21 RBIs and 19 runs scored. He is averaging nearly a run, hit or RBI in every home at-bat against right-handed pitching this season.
With a total of 9 or 9½ at sportsbooks like BetOnline and 5Dimes, there are going to be some runs scored tonight in DC, and I think Harper is going to break out of his road woes back at home.Free MLB Pick 'Over' 2½ (+100)Best Lines Offered: Bovada Miguel Sano O/U 2½ Runs, Hits & RBIs
The Twins' Sano has been red-hot in the month of June, hitting .400 this month over 25 at bats with 3 home runs, 7 RBIs and 5 runs scored. If he can continue that tonight, I also like his chances of having a big game. Sano has been better against right-handed pitching this season, and with Christian Bergman on the hill for the Mariners in Seattle, I could see Sano continuing his hot streak.
However, what’s even better about Sano’s splits this season has been his play on the road. Sano’s wOBA goes from .361 at home to .500 on the road. Over 105 plate appearances on the road this season, Sano has a total of 84 runs, hits and RBIs, which is an average of 0.8 every plate appearances.
Assuming he gets four to five plate appearances this game and isn’t walking a bunch, Sano should bet able to help us cash the 'over' on this prop as well.Free MLB Pick: 'Over' 2½ (+115)