June 7 Odds: Yankees Raking at Home, Back Them Vs. Red Sox

aaron judge yankees

Tuesday, June 6, 2017 8:12 PM GMT

Is Red-Sox Yankees the best rivalry in baseball? An argument certainly can be made. It’s Game 2 of a three-game series Wednesday (7:05 p.m. ET) from Yankee Stadium, and it’s nationally televised because all Red Sox-Yanks matchups seem to be.

MLB Season Record: 18-14

Boston Red Sox At New York Yankees (-105, 9.5)

Some interesting scheduling by MLB in that it’s early June and the Red Sox and Yankees are playing only their second series of the season and first at Yankee Stadium. The first pitch for Game 2 on Wednesday is 7:05 p.m. ET on the MLB Network. Here’s an odd scheduling note: the Red Sox and Yankees both will have played the Pittsburgh Pirates of the NL Central the same amount of games this year as each other heading into Wednesday.

While I would probably concede that Red Sox-Yankees is the best rivalry in baseball, I do think it’s a bit over-hyped by ESPN because network headquarters are right in the Northeast corridor and it shows as many of these games as possible. Thursday’s finale is on ESPN. Baseball is more interesting when both teams are good and the Bombers lead the AL East with the Red Sox second.

Neither club is at full strength. Boston is without second baseman Dustin Pedroia and starting pitcher Eduardo Rodriguez, and New York sans first baseman Greg Bird, center fielder (and former Red Sox) Jacoby Ellsbury and closer Aroldis Chapman. All are on the DL. Rodriguez had been the Red Sox’s second-best starter behind Chris Sale but injured his knee last week and likely won’t be back until late-July. That’s if rest and rehab do the trick. If surgery is required, Rodriguez’s season is over. That could force Boston to trade for a pitcher.

Arguably the biggest story in the American League thus far has been Yankees rookie Aaron Judge, who is the AL MVP betting favorite and a runaway leader for Rookie of the Year. He leads the AL in homers and is second in walks, slugging and OPS. Judge also led all AL players in the most recent All-Star balloting. Believe it or not, only two Yankees rookies have started an All-Star Game: Hideki Matsui (2003) and a fella by the name of Joe DiMaggio (1936). Judge’s 18 HRs (as of Tuesday) already are the most of any Yankee rookie prior to the All-Star break. Only 11 rookies in MLB history have reached the 20-HR mark before the break. Entering this series, the Yanks were just 2-11 this season in games they don’t homer, including seven straight losses.

 

Wednesday’s Probable Pitchers

Red Sox pitcher Rick Porcello’s Cy Young Award last season was largely considered a fluke around baseball, and he has proven that true thus far in 2017 with a 3-7 record and 4.24 ERA. Porcello was 22-4 with a 3.15 ERA in 2016 when he got the most run support in the majors at 6.61 per game. This year that number is down to 4.42.

Porcello faced the Yankees at Fenway Park on April 26 and took the loss, allowing three runs (two earned) and walking a season-high four in 6.2 innings. Porcello has an impressive streak of throwing at least six innings in each of his last 18 road starts (8-3, 3.10 ERA), the longest active streak in MLB. Judge is 1-for-2 off him with a homer. Brett Gardner (.333) and Chase Headley (.364) also hit him well.

Yankees lefty CC Sabathia (6-2, 4.12) hit a rough spot for three straight starts in late April and early May where he gave up 18 runs over 15.2 innings, but since then he has allowed only four earned in his past four outings, all wins. It’s his longest winning streak since five in a row from 4/17-5/10/12.

Sabathia hasn’t faced Boston this year. He was 1-1 with a 4.58 ERA in three starts last year vs. the Red Sox. Mookie Betts is the only Boston regular who is hitting better than .300 career off Sabathia, going 5-for-11 with two RBIs.

 

Reasoning For Pick

Not often this year you will get the Yankees as a veritable pick’em at home as they have the best home record in the majors and are leading the AL in averaging 5.80 runs there. The Red Sox are a .500 team against southpaws (1-5 in past six on road) and New York is 7-0 in Sabathia’s past seven in the Bronx. The Yankees are my MLB pick.

Free MLB Pick: Yankees -105Best Line Offered: BetOnline

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