In yesterday's report, I outlined plays on the Toronto Blue Jays with Mark Buehrle on the hill going up against the Phillies and starter Cliff Lee. This play is valid as outlined. Two left-handed starters go head-to-head, and I really like the cheap line showing Toronto favored at -121 on the money line.
Toronto won the first two games in Philadelphia, but needed 10 innings to defeat the Phillies last night. Ashey went 4-for-4 with a Grand Slam for the Phillies, who scored 5 runs in the bottom of the sixth inning to tie the game. Of note, is that Buehrle is a near-perfect 10-1 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in home games when facing teams whose hitters draw three walks or less/game over the last three seasons; 10-2 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 3 seasons.
The second play for today was outlined in yesterday's report was to play Seattle boxed with Fernandez as they take on Oakland in Game 1 of their scheduled double header. Supporting this play is a fantastic money making system that has gone 211-113 for 65.1% winners and has made 73.4 units/unit wagered averaging a -122 money line play. Play on all teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (SEATTLE) that is not a power hitting team averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game on the season and after scoring 8 or more runs in their last game.
Seattle has been red hot winning four straight games and eight of the last 10 games. They defeated Oakland 8-3 and were installed as a +165 dog having to face the A's starter Chavez. In the game before they defeated Oakland again with Kazmir on the hill and were installed as +182 Dogs. Now, they have their ace on the bump and I strongly believe the result will be their fifth straight win.
Thursday Pitching Report Card
There are just nine games on the Thursday travel day card, but that doesn't mean that we won't be celebrating winning MLB picks tomorrow. The one game that truly sticks out to me as a very solid wager is to play Philadelphia boxed with starter Burnett. As you already know Philadelphia lost the first two games of this home-and-home inter-league series and even if they lose tonight, I do feel confident that they will salvage a win Thursday.
Burnett has done a great job starting for the Phillies, and has posted a 2-1 mark with a 2.06 ERA, 1.21 WHIP with 35 K's spanning 43 2/3 innings of work in seven starts. Opponents are hitting just .219 and he is consistently working ahead in the counts. He pitched well again in Saturday's win over Washington, allowing just one run and three hits over six innings. He issued a pair of walks and struck out seven, tossing 93 pitches.
Even when he does not get the first pitch strike of an AB, batters are hitting just 0.125. He has been especially sharp allowing a 0.154 batting average with runners in scoring position. Adding a bit more focus is that he will be facing his former team.