Jays & Rangers To Dish Out 'Over' Game Total In 2015 Rematch

Matthew Jordan

Tuesday, May 3, 2016 12:19 PM UTC

Tuesday, May. 3, 2016 12:19 PM UTC

Toronto & Texas meet for an AL Division rematch in Game 2 of their series. Let's take a look at the MLB odds and figure out what the 'total' might be for this game.

Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays

What You Need To Know
The Blue Jays lost the first two games of last year's ALDS at home to the Rangers but then won the next two to get it back to Toronto for a winner-take-all Game 5. That Oct. 14, 2015, game was one of the most memorable playoff games in recent history thanks to a seventh inning that was incredibly wild. Texas scored a go-ahead run in the top of the inning when Jays catcher Russell Martin's return throw to the mound deflected off Texas hitter Shin-Soo Choo's bat, allowing Rougned Odor to score from third base.

Plate umpire Dale Scott initially ruled it a dead ball, but after Rangers manager Jeff Banister questioned it, the umpires huddled together and Odor was sent home. The Blue Jays fans went nuts, littering the Rogers Centre field. Then the Rangers had three errors in the bottom of the inning, which was capped by a three-run homer from Toronto slugger Jose Bautista. I'm sure you remember his epic bat flip  from that swing.  

Texas had a good news/bad news weekend with its Double-A Frisco team that will affect the big club. The bad was that Josh Hamilton had a setback in rehabbing his knee, in just his first game. I'd frankly be surprised at this point if the injury-plagued former AL MVP plays in the majors again.

The Rangers remain without fellow outfielder Choo due to strained right calf but he expects to start a rehab assignment on May 9. The very good news was that ace Yu Darvish  had his first rehab start Sunday off Tommy John surgery and looked excellent, reaching 97 mph. In two innings, Darvish threw 32 pitches. Darvish could be activated in a few weeks as long as there are no setbacks with him. With the Astros struggling mightily, you'd have to call Texas the favorite to repeat in the AL West with a healthy Darvish.

You may not see Martin in this game for Toronto. He has been battling a stiff neck for a week or so and hasn't been playing in back-to-back games yet. He was in the starting lineup for Monday's series opener. Josh Thole would start if Martin can't.  

Probable Pitchers
The Rangers start young left-hander Martin Perez (1-2, 4.20) on the mound. He picked up his first win of the season last Wednesday against the New York Yankees, allowing two runs and six hits over six innings. He walked two and struck out three. He has 15 walks to only 14 strikeouts on the season. That's not a good ratio.

Perez started Game 3 of the ALDS and took the loss, allowing four runs and six hits over five innings. It was a minor surprise that Perez was called on to start that game over veteran's Derek Holland and Colby Lewis. Perez didn't face Toronto last regular season. Josh Donaldson is 5-for-13 off him with three doubles, a homer and two RBIs. Justin Smoak is 4-for-11 with two doubles. Troy Tulowitzki is 1-for-3 with a homer and two RBIs. The Rangers are 1-6 on MLB odds in Perez's past seven road starts.

The Jays go with right-hander Marco Estrada (1-2, 2.92). He took the loss last Wednesday against the White Sox, allowing three runs and three hits over 6.2 innings. Estrada threw a season-high 118 pitches but will go here on an extra day of rest. He was opposite Perez in Game 3 of the ALDS and Estrada got the win, giving up one run and five hits over 6.1 innings, walking none.

He lost his lone regular-season start vs. Texas, allowing one run and four hits in six innings. Ian Desmond has faced him more than any Ranger, going 2-for-13 with nine strikeouts. Elvis Andrus is 1-for-6 with a double. Mitch Moreland is 3-for-5 with a homer and two RBIs.  Toronto is 7-3 on MLB picks in Estrada's past 10 at home.

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Free MLB Pick: Over 9
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

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