Is 'Under' the Call at Wrigley Field with Lester on Mound?

Kevin Stott

Sunday, April 16, 2017 3:27 PM UTC

Sunday, Apr. 16, 2017 3:27 PM UTC

The Under has gone an impressive 50-22-3 the L75 Cubs games at historic Wrigley Field, and with Jon Lester pitching for the world champions the Under seems wise in this series finale. Let’s look at all the trends and try to justify this total’s pick as the 2017 MLB Regular Season slowly starts to heat up.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs CH Cubs

The Cubs and LHP Jon Lester face the Pittsburgh Pirates and RHP Jameson Taillon at Wrigley Field on Sunday in Game 3 of this NL Central series. Sportsbooks have the world champion Cubs -165 favorites and the total 8½ -120 with the run line market offering the Cubs -1½. The Pirates won Game 1 Friday, 4-2, and Game 2 Saturday, 8-7.


Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates have W2 straight road games after losing their first 3 at Boston, after for an 8-7 win at the Friendly Confines Saturday. In that matinee, Bucs manager Clint Hurdle had a starting lineup of SS Frazier, CF Marte, RF McCutchen, 3B Freese, 1B Bell, C Cervelli, LF Harrison, 2B Hanson with Tyler Glasnow getting the start. Former Cub Marte went 2-4 with an HR and 2 RBI.

Pittsburgh is 6-2 L8 vs. LHP Starters, 5-22-1 L28 vs. teams with winning Records, 1-5 L6 Sundays, and 2-8 L10 road games. The Over is 4-0 L4 Pittsburgh Sunday dates and 36-16 L52 Game 3’s.


Chicago Cubs

The Cubs are 7-0 in Lester’s L7 Starts against losing teams, but Pittsburgh is 5-5 now and will be looking to salvage a win and avoid a demoralizing sweep here. In Game 2 Saturday, manager Joe Maddon had a Starting Lineup of LF Schwarber, 3B Bryant, 1B Rizzo, 2B Zobrist, SS Russell, RF J Heyward, C Contreras, SP Jake Arrieta with 2B Báez batting 9th. Chicago had no batters in its starting lineup hitting over .300 with Heyward (.297) closest.

Chicago is 49-19-2 L69 vs. RHP Starters, 69-27 L96 at Wrigley vs. RHP, 39-16 L55 Home overall and 22-5 in Lester’s L27 Starts on the North Side. The Under is 50-22-3 L75 Cubs Home (69.4%).


Chicago Weather, Series Side and Total and Umpire Joe West Trends

The weather channel forecast for Chicago on Easter Sunday is cloudy, a High of 71° with possibly significant WNW Winds of 10-20 mph. After Saturday’s score-fest, the Over is 10-3 L13 in this series while the Under is 4-0 in southpaw Lester’s L4 home starts vs. the Swashbucklers. After winning two straight, Pittsburgh is 2-6 L8 in the Windy City and 8-19 L27 meetings overall.

Chicago is 12-2 L14 games with Umpire Joe West behind the plate and the home team is 7-0 the L7 West games on Sunday but the road team is also 7-0 L7 when West jumps vs. the Cubs and 4-0 his L4 overall. With the Under in Pirates Road games, 4-1 L5 meetings, 50-22-3 L75 in Wrigleyville and with the Taillon and Lester getting the pill, the Under is the ivy-clad MLB Pick.


Predicted Final Score: Cubs 4 Pirates 3Free MLB Pick: Under 8½ Best Line Offered: at JustBet

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