Inspect Starting Pitchers Report for Today's Betting Insight

Ross Benjamin

Monday, July 28, 2014 12:15 PM UTC

Monday, Jul. 28, 2014 12:15 PM UTC

This insightful MLB handicapping article shows which starting pitchers have the MLB betting edges when the Rays host the Brewers, as well as when the 2012 Cy Young winner R.A Dickey squares off against underachieving Clay Buchholz in an AL East battle. 

Toronto Blue Jays (Dickey) vs. Boston Red Sox (Clay Buchholz) 7:10 PM ET
The Blue Jays starter R.A. Dickey has struggled to win on the road this season going 2-8 against the money line with a 4.06 ERA, and has lost 5.90 MLB wagering units in the process. However, he hasn’t received a lot of run support from his teammates in those specific instances, as the Blue Jays are averaging 2.8 runs per game in his 10 road appearances. The knuckleball specialist has seen his last 4 road starts all go under the total while posting a stellar 2.20 ERA in those outings. Since the start of the 2013 season, Dickey has started 4-times versus Boston, and posted a very lofty 6.12 ERA.  

The Red Sox starter Clay Buchholz has gone 0-5 against the money line in his last 5-starts at Fenway Park versus Toronto. All 3-starts by the Red Sox hurler this season versus Toronto have gone over the total, and he certainly helped the cause with his unimpressive 5.30 ERA in those appearances. The Boston right-hander has had a disappointing season thus far, and has especially struggled at home, going 2-5 against the money with a large 6.33 ERA. On a positive note, he does enter tonight’s game in good form over his last 3-starts posting a respectable 3.43 ERA and a 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio.

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Betting Advantage
Both of these pitchers can be described as erratic and underachieving so far in 2014. Neither has a good recent track history against the opponent they will be facing this evening. Taking those points into consideration, I like this one to play on the high side of the number, and I’m leaning strongly toward making my MLB wager on going over the total.


Milwaukee Brewers (Lohse) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (Odorizzi) 7:10 PM ET
The Brewers starter Kyle Lohse is having a terrific season and has been an extremely profitable pitcher. The Brewers right-hander has gone an excellent 15-6 against the money line this season, and has earned +9.00 MLB wagering units in the process. Lohse has seen the majority of those profits come on the road, going 9-3 against the money, and showing a profit of +7.50 units made. In his 21-starts this season the Brewers veteran has posted a stellar 3.07 ERA, a 1.10 WHIP, and a better than 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio.

The Rays starter Jake Odorizzi has been on the opposite end of the spectrum compared his pitching adversary for tonight. He’s gone an unimpressive 8-12 against the money, and has lost 6.40 units for the season. There are a couple of positive signs as they apply to the Rays hurler heading into tonight. He’s been in very good form over his last 8-starts going 5-3 against the money with a very good 2.39 ERA. He’s also pitched much better at home than on the road this year. In 11-starts at Tropicana Field Odorizzi has a solid 2.73 ERA and 1.12 WHIP.

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Betting Advantage
When applying my MLB handicapping to these starting pitchers it all comes down to consistency. Kyle Lohse has been solid from since the season’s start. Jake Odorizzi has been good of late, but his whole body of work doesn’t measure up to his counterpart tonight. I’m giving a small MLB betting edge in the starting pitching department to Kyle Lohse over Jake Odorizzi.

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