Identifying the Week's Must-Watch Matchups & How to Bet Them

Swinging Johnson

Tuesday, May 19, 2015 5:46 PM GMT

Tuesday, May. 19, 2015 5:46 PM GMT

This MLB handicapper takes a look at the most compelling series for us to focus MLB picks on this week. These critical series impact the standings and offer opportunities to cash in.

Dodgers (24-13) vs. Giants (20-18)
NL West powers collide when the streaking LA Dodgers travel to the Bay area to take on the defending World Champion San Francisco Giants. Big Blue has boasted plenty of offense this season topping the majors in on base percentage (.349) and slugging percentage (.470) this season. Adrian Gonzalez has been on a tear with a .356 batting average in 154 plate appearances while Joc Pederson has gone long 10 times this season and leads the team in that category.

Meanwhile the Giants rank 3rd in the big leagues with a .270 batting average yet have been unable to drive in runs as their 25th ranked runs scored will attest. However, they will be welcoming big gun Hunter Pence back into the fold after returning from a two-month stint on the DL with a broken bone in his forearm.

 

Betting Trends
Games Over the Last Three Seasons

San Francisco is 24-20 (+7.9 units) against LA Dodgers over the last three seasons
21 of 39 games in this series have gone Under the total over the last three seasons. (Under is +1.6 units)

Games This Season
San Francisco is 4-2 (+3.3 units) against LA Dodgers this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone Over the total this season.

All Games at San Francisco Over the Last Three Seasons
San Francisco is 12-9 (+3.3 units) against LA Dodgers over the last three seasons
11 of 18 games in this series have gone Under the total over the last three seasons. (Under is +3.3 units)

All Games at San Francisco This Season
San Francisco is 3-0 (+3.6 units) against LA Dodgers this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone Under the total this season. (Under is +1.0 units)

 

Cardinals (25-13) vs. Mets (23-16)
The Beast of the East meets the best in the Central as the NY Mets host the St. Louis Cardinals in a matchup that may be a precursor to a postseason date with destiny. Wednesday night will feature young gun Carlos Martinez versus the old dog Bartolo Colon. You may want to add Cardinals infielder Mark Reynolds to your fantasy baseball lineup that night as he is a career .357 against Colon in 17 at-bats.

Betting Trends
Games Over the Last Three Seasons

NY METS are 7-8 (+1.6 units) against ST LOUIS over the last three seasons
11 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last three seasons. (Under is +8.0 units)

Games This Season
NY METS is 1-0 (+1.0 units) against ST LOUIS this season
The only game between these two this season went UNDER THE TOTAL. (Under is +1.0 units)

All Games at at NY Mets Over the Last Three Seasons
NY METS is 5-3 (+3.3 units) against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons. (Under is +6.1 units)

All Games at NY Mets This Season
NY METS is 1-0 (+1.0 units) against ST LOUIS this season

The only game between these two this season went UNDER THE TOTAL. (Under is +1.0 units)

 

Yankees (22-17) vs. Nationals (22-17)
Pretender versus Contender? The only thing more surprising than the Yankees is the resurgence of the controversial Alex Rodriguez. A-Rod has 10 dingers on the season and has led the Pinstripers to an unexpected first-place in the AL East. However, the Nationals are finally getting on track after stumbling out of the gate. Bryce Harper has been nothing short of immense with 14 long balls on the young season and hitting a blistering .338 at the plate.

Something to consider for your MLB picks on Tuesday night. Nationals’ pitcher Gio Gonzalez has gotten hammered in his career when facing the Yankees. He is 1-5 when starting against the Bombers with a 6.75 ERA and a 1.625 WHIP. The MLB odds offered at GTBets.com has the Yankees at +117 for Tuesday night’s first of two. That just might be the live dog you’re looking for!

 

Cubs (21-16) vs. Padres (19-20)
The Cubbies take to the highway as they battle the Padres for three in San Diego and then travel to the desert to take on the Diamondbacks for a three-game set. Chicago saw their six-game win streak snapped on Sunday night as they were blanked 3-0 by the Pirates. Meanwhile the Padres are mired in a three-game slump with their pitching getting hammered by the Nats to the tune of eight runs a game on average over those three.

Betting Trends
Over the Last Three Seasons

SAN DIEGO is 10-7 (+2.7 units) against CHICAGO CUBS over the last three seasons
9 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last three seasons. (Over is +0.7 units)

Games This Season
SAN DIEGO is 2-1 (+1.2 units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season. (Over is +3.0 units)

All Games at San Diego Over the Last Three Seasons
SAN DIEGO is 4-3 (+0.3 units) against CHICAGO CUBS over the last three seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last three seasons. (Under is +0.4 units)

 

Pitching Matchup of the Week: May 21st – Kershaw vs. Bumgarner
Thursday night will feature a dandy display of southpaws as Big Blue’s ace Clayton Kershaw and Giants number one hurler Madison Bumgarner throw down at AT&T Park in what should be a good old fashioned pitcher’s duel. These two premier lefties hooked up on April 22nd and neither got a decision but the Giants did walk away with a victory and proved to be a live home dog at +130 in MLB odds that night.

This will be a revenge spot for Kershaw and if you take a look at his history against the Giants you will no doubt see what could be a viable betting opportunity in your MLB picks. Consider the following:

Kershaw is 14-5 when starting against San Francisco with a 1.44 ERA and a WHIP of 0.849 but more importantly the Under is 18-6 and plus a whopping 11.5 units. Factor in that Bumgarner is the other pitcher in question and despite what will undoubtedly be a low total in MLB odds , we say it can’t be low enough! Go under in your MLB picks in this one.

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