Horrible Recent Form for Both Starters Prompts Total to go 'Over' in Rangers vs. Twins Game

Ross Benjamin

Tuesday, August 11, 2015 5:51 PM GMT

Tuesday, Aug. 11, 2015 5:51 PM GMT

We’ll examine Tuesday’s American League contest between Texas and Minnesota. Will Texas continue with the consistent offensive production they’ve displayed in recent games against a struggling Twins pitching staff? Will Minnesota go over the total for a sixth consecutive game? Read our informative betting preview article for those answers.  

Texas Visits Target Field in Minnesota
The Twins and Rangers begin a three game series at Target Field in Minnesota on Tuesday. The opening pitch is slated for 8:10 PM ET. A pair of right-handed starting pitchers will square off with Yovani Gallardo of Texas being opposed by Minnesota’s Kyle Gibson. These American League clubs have gone 13-3-1 under the total in their seventeen encounters against one another since 2013.

 

Horrible Recent Form for Both Pitchers
Yavoni Gallardo has displayed awful form during his previous four starts, posting a large 8.53 ERA, 1.95 WHIP, and issued two more walks than strikeouts. This will be his first start of the season versus Minnesota. He made one start versus the Twins in 2014 and was ineffective, allowing 6 earned runs on 8 hits while walking 2 in 5.0 innings pitched. Gallardo has posted a 3.47 ERA and 1.33 WHIP this season.   

Kyle Gibson seems to be enduring another second half of the season nose dive, similar to what he experienced in both 2013 and 2014. During his previous four starts, Gibson has compiled a sizable 9.00 ERA and 1.73 WHIP. Gibson has gone 21-9 over the total since 2013 during his starts after game 81 of the season. On a positive note, Gibson has made two career starts versus Texas, and both came in 2014. In those outings he posted an excellent 1.29 ERA. Gibson has posted a 3.78 ERA and 1.30 WHIP this season.   

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Rangers Offense in High Gear
Texas is averaging 5.4 runs per game and possesses a robust .296 team batting average over their last seven contests. As a matter of fact, Texas has scored 4 runs or more in fifteen of their previous nineteen games. In an unrelated topic, the Rangers bullpen continues to struggle this season, evidenced by a rather lofty 4.59 ERA as a staff.

 

Recent Twins Games Have Been Slugfests
Minnesota has gone over the total in each of their previous five games. Those affairs averaged a combined 15.6 runs per game. Although they averaged a healthy 5.2 runs scored during that stretch, the main culprit in those high scoring affairs was an inept pitching staff. Twins pitchers allowed an average of 10.4 runs and 13.8 hits per game during those outings.

 

Final Analysis
This is one of those rare times I’m going to side general public wagering. I like this to be a high scoring game for one of my MLB picks on Tuesday. After surfing through the MLB odds at every major sportsbook, 5Dimes will get my call solely based on price.

MLB Pick: Play the Rangers and Twins Over 8.5 (-105) at 5Dimes

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