Home Run Props on Yankees’ New Bash Brothers of Judge & Stanton

Matthew Jordan

Monday, December 11, 2017 2:48 PM UTC

Monday, Dec. 11, 2017 2:48 PM UTC

The New York Yankees shocked the baseball world by acquiring Marlins slugger Giancarlo Stanton and now have a frightening power duo of Stanton and Aaron Judge. BetOnline has come up with a few props on them.

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It must be nice to be the New York Yankees. They didn’t have to give up much – second baseman Starlin Castro and two lower-level prospects – to acquire the greatest right-handed power hitter in baseball in Marlins slugging outfielder Giancarlo Stanton. The Yankees didn’t bat an eye on taking on $265 million of the $295 million remaining on Stanton’s deal. The Marlins will cover the rest.

Stanton led the majors with 59 home runs this past season and was named NL MVP. His new teammate, Aaron Judge, led the American League with 52 dingers and won AL Rookie of the Year. Stanton and Judge will become only the second pair of teammates who each hit at least 50 homers the previous season, following the legendary Yankees tandem of Mickey Mantle and Roger Maris in 1962 (Maris had 61 homers in ’61 and Mantle 54). The Bombers also are the first team to lead the majors in home runs and then acquire that season's individual home run champ since they purchased Babe Ruth from the Red Sox in 1919.

The Marlins had agreed to trades with the San Francisco Giants and St. Louis Cardinals for Stanton, but he invoked his no-trade clause to put the kibosh on those. It’s not yet clear how new Yankees manager Aaron Boone will work his lineup. One New York writer, ESPN’s Andrew Marchand, projects Judge to hit second and Stanton fourth – splitting them up with lefty first baseman Greg Bird batting third.

BetOnline has released some 2018 season props on Stanton and Judge. Let’s take a look.

Total Combined HRs by Stanton & Judge

The ‘over/under’ is 104.5, with both priced at -110. The 111 home runs hit by Judge and Stanton last year were only 17 fewer than the entire Giants team hit. The highest home run threshold that two right-handed teammates has ever reached in a single season was 44, when Jeff Bagwell (47) and Richard Hidalgo (44) both hit at least that many for the 2000 Houston Astros. The most homers by one team only by right-handed hitters, if you are wondering, was 200 by the 2015 Blue Jays. They had guys like Josh Donaldson (41 HRs), Jose Bautista (40) and Edwin Encarnacion (39). Stanton has a history of getting injured, although it will help he can now play DH some days. Could Judge suffer a bit of a sophomore slump?

Free MLB Pick: Under 104.5

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Hey @Giancarlo818....👊 pic.twitter.com/0542MWBIpv

— Aaron Judge (@TheJudge44) December 9, 2017

Most Home Runs

Stanton is -160 and Judge +140. If you are wondering, Stanton has just eight career plate appearances at the new Yankee Stadium, all in 2015. He has one homer. Yankee Stadium is a lot more hitter-friendly than Marlins Park as the latter was the third-most-difficult home run-hitting park for right-handed batters last season. It basically depressed homers by right-handers by about 20 percent relative to an average MLB ballpark. Yankee Stadium was the third-easiest home-run-hitting park for right-handers. FiveThirtyEight projected that Stanton would have hit 73 homers last year had he played his home games at Yankee Stadium instead of Miami. It’s not like both Stanton and Judge can’t go the other way, either. Stanton’s 11 opposite-field home runs last season tied for sixth in the majors. Judge ranked second with 17.

Free MLB Pick: Stanton -160

Most Times Struck Out & Combined Struck Out

Judge is -300 to strike out more than Stanton (+250), while the duo is given a total of 300.5 strikeouts (both -110). I’d be stunned if the Yankees don’t lead the majors in batter strikeouts with free-swingers like Stanton, Judge, Gary Sanchez and Bird. Judge led the majors with 208 whiffs last year and set an MLB record by whiffing in 37 straight games at one point. He struck out 63 times over those 37 games have come on 164 plate appearances. That’s a rate of 38.4%. Project it over a full season, and that’s 276 strikeouts — an MLB record by far. Stanton had 163 Ks.

Free Picks: Judge -300 & Over 300.5Bet On MLB Futures At SBR’s Top-Rated Sportsbooks
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