Home Edge Makes Cardinals Run Line Our MLB Pick Over Rockies

Ross Benjamin

Sunday, August 2, 2015 2:07 PM GMT

Will St. Louis bounce back from Saturday's home loss? Can Colorado reverse their 2015 ill fortunes against southpaw starting pitchers? We have the answers & much more in this betting preview article.

Rockies and Cards in “Series Wrap” on Sunday
The Cardinals and Rockies will play in the rubber match of their four game series on Sunday at Busch Stadium in St. Louis. The first pitch is slated for 2:15 PM ET. The Cardinals have won two of the first three. Colorado avoided possibly being swept with a 6-2 win on Saturday. Despite that loss, St. Louis is 7-2 at home and 12-7 overall versus Colorado since 2013.

 

Starting Pitchers
Yohan Flande will be making just his second start of the season for Colorado on Sunday. He was very effective in his first start which came at Wrigley Field against the Cubs on 7/28. He allowed just 1 earned run on 4 hits while walking three in a 5-1 Rockies win. The 29 year old southpaw began the season at AA New Britain where he was 5-0 in six starts with a superb 1.36 ERA. He earned a promotion to the majors as a result in May. During that stint, he appeared in four relief appearances, and was less than impressive, evidenced by posting a large 7.37 ERA in those outings. Hence, he was demoted to AAA Albuquerque where he had a substantial 7.11 ERA, 1.96 WHIP and allowed 7 home runs in just 31 2/3 innings. However, in need of a left-handed arm, Colorado recalled Flande for a second time this season. Besides the previously mentioned one start since his second recall, he’s also made four relief appearances.

Southpaw Jaime Garcia will get the start today for St. Louis. The Cardinals hurler has endured a frustrating year in terms of health. He’s been on the disabled list twice in 2015. However, when healthy, he’s been extremely effective, posting an outstanding 2.00 ERA and 0.89 WHIP during eight starts. Garcia has gone a horrible 0-4 in his career team starts versus Colorado with a mammoth 10.53 ERA. It must be noted, Garcia hasn’t made a start versus Colorado since May of 2013, and I’m going to discard that data with all things being considered.

 

Final Analysis
The Rockies have gone a dismal 5-17 this season versus southpaw starting pitchers like they’ll be facing today. Colorado is also a poor 20-31 (.392) on the road in 2015. They’re currently listed as a +190 at Bovada as money line underdog for Sunday according to MLB betting odds. The Rockies are a pathetic 7-45 since 2014 as a money line road underdog of +150 or more.

St. Louis has gone a superb 39-16 (.709) at home in 2015. The Cardinals are also a terrific 27-4 since 2014 as a money line home favorite of -175 to -250. They’ve also thrived in day games at home, going 33-13 since the start of last season when cast into that role.

I like the Cardinals to win Sunday’s game by a decisive margin for one of my MLB picks on Sunday. In terms of run-line value, it’s Pinnacle who will get my call for this wager.

MLB Pick: Play on St. Louis -1.5 (+115) on the run-line at Pinnacle.