Home Advantage is Best Bet: Padres vs. Phillies

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, June 11, 2014 1:28 PM UTC

Wednesday, Jun. 11, 2014 1:28 PM UTC

Cole Hamels has dominated his hometown team over the course of his career, which provides the Philadelphia Phillies a major edge over the San Diego Padres Wednesday night. Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting odds for this National League matchup.

Punchless at the plate
San Diego has dropped six of its last eight games due to averaging just 1.8 runs over that span, while it looks to bounce back from a 5-2 setback to Philadelphia as -115 road favorites Tuesday. The Padres are last in the Majors in scoring just 197 runs this season—a distant 19 runs behind the Cincinnati Reds in the 29th spot. 

MLB handicappers will find that the Padres are 2-6 on the road with a betting total of 7 or less.

Inconsistent pattern
Philadelphia is difficult to back following a victory, considering it hasn’t put together back-to-back wins since a three-game win streak from May 17-20. The Phillies have compiled a dominating 26-8 record in their last 34 games versus the Padres, with second baseman Chase Utley leading the way offensively—hitting .389 in his last 10 contests in the series.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the Phillies are a formidable 28-17 as home favorites of -125 to -150, with the 'over' going 24-17-4 in that situation.

Padres starting pitcher Tyson Ross (6-5, 3.22 ERA) suffered a 6-0 home defeat to the Washington Nationals last time out, as he allowed six runs (five earned) and five hits over 5.1 innings of work. The right-hander is 3-2 with a 4.41 ERA in six road outings, with opposing hitters batting .289 against him (.201 at home). 

Ross has put together a 0-1 record and 18.00 ERA in three career appearances versus the Phillies.

Phillies starting pitcher Cole Hamels (2-3, 3.49 ERA) registered an impressive 8-0 road victory over the Cincinnati Reds last time out, as he scattered five hits in 7.2 shutout frames. The left-hander has put together a 1-2 record and 4.83 ERA in five home appearances—issuing 14 walks and 31 strikeouts in 31.2 combined innings.

Hamels is a dominating 8-1 with a 2.27 ERA in his last 11 efforts versus the Padres.

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Phillies as one of their MLB picks, as they’ve captured Hamels’ last six efforts in this series.

Free MLB Pick:  Philadelphia Phillies


comment here