Highlighting Moneyline Underdogs From Tonight's MLB Odds Board

Mets vs Phillies MLB Odds

Ross Benjamin

Friday, July 15, 2016 3:11 PM UTC

Friday, Jul. 15, 2016 3:11 PM UTC

Our MLB handicapping professional shares his top three underdog picks on Friday’s card. Go inside to find out why he sees wagering value for each of these choices.

Mets (Colon) @ Phillies (Hellickson) 7:05 PM ET
The Phillies were playing terrific baseball heading into the all-star break. They’ve gone 10-3 over its last thirteen games. Philadelphia has been an offensively challenged team for a vast majority of the season’s first half. However, that’s not been the case of late. They’ve amassed an impressive .548 team slugging percentage and .848 OPS during the course of their previous seven games.

Jeremy Hellickson will make the start for Philadelphia on Friday. The veteran right-handed hurler has exhibited very good form in his prior three starts, compiling a notable 1.50 ERA for that period of time. Hellickson can take comfort in knowing his bullpen staff has recently performed marvelous. Phillies relievers have collectively posted an inspiring 2.02 ERA and 0.99 WHIP through the preceding seven games.

The Mets come out of the annual break having lost their last three at the hands of NL East division rival Washington. By virtue of those recent setbacks, New York is a below average 19-22 this year against divisional opponents. You may be surprised to know that Philadelphia is a somewhat respectable 17-16 against fellow NL East teams in 2016.

The current  MLB odds board provides me a best money line price for this specific wager.

Free MLB Pick:  Phillies +118
Best Line Offered:  at Bovada

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Royals (Kennedy) @ Tigers (Verlander) 7:10 PM ET
Let’s first start by taking a look at the probable starting pitching matchup. Ian Kennedy of Kansas City has displayed very good form through his last three starts. During that time frame, he amassed a glittering 3.00 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. Conversely, Justin Verlander has an unimposing 5.71 ERA and 1.50 WHIP over his prior three starts.

Kansas City is 5-2 versus Detroit this season. As a matter of fact, the Royals have gone an outstanding 21-11 (.656) versus AL Central teams thus far. On the other hand, Detroit is an insipid 13-18 against divisional opponents.

When considering all factors pertaining to this matchup, I’ve opted to use the road underdog for one of my Friday MLB picks.

Free MLB Pick:  Royals +135
Best Line Offered:   at GTBets

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Blue Jays (Stroman) @ Athletics (Mengden) 10:05 PM ET
I made one of my MLB picks today on this game founded on pure betting value. We have a money line road underdog (Blue Jays) with a win percentage of .560 versus an opponent (A’s) with a .427 success rate. Furthermore, Oakland’s Daniel Mengden isn’t considered to be a top 20 MLB starting pitcher by any stretch of the imagination, and is season numbers will emphatically confirm that. The combination of these factors qualifies for one of my fundamental money line underdog alerts.

There are additional reasons to side with the road underdog regarding this game. Toronto went into the break by going 8-1 over its last nine games. Over the course of its previous seven games, Toronto amassed a striking .371 team OBP and .830 OPS. Blue Jays starter Marcus Strom has been awesome in his last two outings, posting an exceptional 1.84 ERA and 0.75 WHIP. Toronto is a respectable 24-20 (.545) on the road this year.

Contrarily, Oakland comes of the midseason break having lost 8 of their previous 11 outings. From an offensive standpoint, the A’s have a horrible .273 OBP and .603 OPS for the period of its prior seven games. Oakland starter Daniel Mengden has demonstrated shaky form through his last three starts, gathering a sizable 6.11 ERA, and issuing an alarming 9 walks in 17 2/3 innings pitched. The A’s bullpen has been awful during its aforementioned seven games, evidenced by a large 6.62 ERA as a staff over that span. Oakland is a dismal 17-26 (.395) at home in 2016.

Free MLB Pick:   Blue Jays +115
Best Line Offered:   at TheGreek

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