The Rockies broke San Fran's' 8-game winning streak yesterday. Are the Giants a safe bet to start another streak behind veteran starter Tim Hudson in the rarified air of Denver?
The Colorado Rockies and San Francisco Giants attempt to get through the last game of their four game series on Sunday as yesterday’s double-header games were continuously delayed by thunder and rain. Making his third start of the year for the Rockies is Chad Bettis who was recently recalled from AAA Albuquerque. On the other end of the spectrum, crafty veteran Tim Hudson gets the call for the Giants as he makes his 466th start in a career dating back to 1999. Hudson is rightly favored in this game on the money line at -118. The MLB odds O/U total currently sits at 10.5. The thunderstorms aren’t supposed to kick up until 4 PM local time today so they should be able to get this game in on time.
Chad Bettis’ last start out was an improvement over his first. He held the Phillies to 3 runs over six innings while walking zero. Bettis did give up 8 hits though, after giving up 7 hits in his first start. But giving up no walks to Philly is a serious improvement after giving up 4 in his first start of the season. Bettis’ velocity is down this season as he has made the transition to starter, with a fastball that currently sits around 92. That’s down two MPH from last year when he was coming out of the bullpen for the Rockies. He has a sky high BABIP .319 in this short stint, which is actually career average. Bettis hasn’t had much luck on batted balls so far in his career.
Tim Hudson has been around long enough that we have a good history of batted against statistics between him and the Rockies, but I’d like to concentrate on this year’s two starts against them. Some of us might remember the road winning streak that the Rockies went on to start the season, and one of those games was a Tim Hudson start. In that game Tim Hudson took the loss after pitching seven innings and giving up three earned runs. He gave up eight hits while striking out four, but had no walks. The Colorado bullpen held onto the lead they were staked and won 4-1. In Hudson’s last start in Colorado on April 25th, he also gave up three earned runs while pitching seven innings. He gave up eight hits while striking out two and had no walks. Hudson didn’t get the decision as the Giants went on to win the game 5-4 in 11 innings. In that second game, two of those runs came off of solo shots to Troy Tulowitski and Carlos Gonzalez of the Rockies. The two starts were very similar, but the mistakes fly out of the yard in Denver.
MLB Betting Verdict
The San Francisco Giants had won 8 games in a row before losing the nightcap and it is tough not to like them in this spot against the inexperienced starter. The high Coors Field scoring averages are also in full effect and books have responded by posting a total over 10 for this game. The high posted total doesn’t seem to matter though as the public is placing MLB picks 'over' at an 88% clip at time of writing. I’m going to avoid that total; however, as I can see a repeat performance from Hudson shading the results under 10 runs just like in his previous two starts against the Rockies. So shop around and back San Francisco on the Money Line.
The MLB Pick: Giants -113 at 5Dimes