Have A Profitable Weekend By Grabbing These Great Totals MLB Picks

Matthew Jordan

Friday, April 15, 2016 12:19 PM UTC

Friday, Apr. 15, 2016 12:19 PM UTC

It's Jackie Robinson's Day as he debuted in the majors April 15, 1947 with the Dodgers, and I've selected my top totals picks from the MLB odds boards for this slate.

San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (5.5)
You won't see a total lower than this in the regular season, even more so on this heated rivalry at the NL West, which has been great so far, just as projected. To perhaps at least assure a push, some MLB odds makers still have this at 6 runs. But I'm sticking with Heritage for my odds choices for today and all the books might have it at 5.5 by first pitch. It's two of the best pitchers in baseball facing off for the second time in less than a week in lefties Madison Bumgarner for the Giants and three-time Cy Young winner Clayton Kershaw for the Dodgers. Last Saturday, neither got a decision in a 3-2 Los Angeles win in 10 innings. Bumgarner left with the lead after allowing one run and six hits over six innings, striking out eight, but his bullpen couldn't hold it.

Remarkably, Bumgarner homered off Kershaw for the second time in two seasons -- in 2015, Bumgarner was the first to do it off Kershaw in a regular-season game. Just 17 players all-time have had multiple homers off Kershaw and obviously Bumgarner is the only pitcher. Interesting stat from FanGraphs: Bumgarner has nine total bases against Kershaw in 16 career plate appearances. Teammate Hunter Pence, a darn good hitter, has five total bases against Kershaw in 59 plate appearances. Kershaw ended up allowing two runs and four hits over eight innings in Saturday's start. San Francisco has still won five of the past seven meetings when these two pitch against one another.

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Free MLB Pick: Under 6 (-115)
Best Line Offered: at YouWager


Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox (9.5)
This is the highest total on the board as of this writing. It's been an interesting week for the Red Sox as they sent projected starting third baseman Pablo Sandoval to the DL even though he might  not really be that injured and outfielder Rusney Castillo to Triple-A. Sandoval actually had the nerve to tell a reporter he only wants to stay in Boston if he plays every day. Guy is still owed more than $75 million and doesn't even bother staying in shape. The Red Sox couldn't get a ham sandwich from other teams for Sandoval right now. This is a pitching rematch of last Saturday between Toronto knuckleballer R.A. Dickey and Boston's Rick Porcello.

The Red Sox beat the Blue Jays 8-4 in Toronto last weekend as Dickey was shelled for seven runs and eight hits in five innings. There were two passed balls and one wild pitch while he was in there. Dickey now has an ERA of 8.10 on the season. Xander Bogaerts hits him hard, going 11-for-30 with four doubles, a homer and seven RBIs. Porcello allowed four runs and seven hits over six innings vs. the Jays in what was his season debut. Jose Bautista went yard twice off him and is 12-for-28 career against Porcello with three homers and nine RBIs. Edwin Encarnacion is 10-for-29 off him with four doubles, a homer and six knocked in.

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Free MLB Pick: Over 9 (-105)
Best Line Offered: at Intertops


Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6.5)
The Pale Hose come off a sweep in Minnesota and are atop the AL Central despite their offense being mediocre at best. But their pitching staff has been one of the best in the majors. And the ace of that staff, lefty and spring  AL Cy Young betting favorite Chris Sale, goes in this series opener at Tropicana Field. Sale has won both his starts in 2016, going seven innings and allowing three earned in both with 14 total strikeouts. Playing in St. Petersburg always matters to Sale because he grew up in nearby Lakeland and pitched collegiately in that city.

Last year, the Rays actually had his number more than any other team as Sale was 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA in two starts. He struck out 21 in 12 innings but allowed three homers. Evan Longoria can't hit Sale, going 1-for-14 with seven strikeouts. The Rays have been one of the worst offensive teams thus far and scored one total run in losing the final two games of a home series against the Indians on Wednesday and Thursday. Tampa goes with Jake Odorizzi here. He is 0-1 with a 3.86 ERA this year in two starts. Odorizzi didn't face the White Sox last year, hence my MLB pick is going to be an under for this game.

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Free MLB Pick: Under 6.5 (-105)
Best Line Offered: at Bovada

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