Harvey's Struggles Create Upset Potential: Giants Look Tempting With +141 Price Tag

Darin Zank

Wednesday, June 10, 2015 1:32 PM GMT

San Francisco got a no-hitter from rookie Chris Heston in taking Game 1 of this series Tuesday night 5-0. What can Tim Hudson and the Giants do for an encore, and how can we cash in on the MLB odds?

Giants-Mets Wednesday Betting Line
As of early Wednesday morning the best price we could find on New York and Matt Harvey was the -150 offered at WagerWeb, while GT Bets was giving San Francisco and Tim Hudson +141. And the total on tonight's game was listed at a nice round seven runs.

 

The Situation
San Francisco took the opener of this series Tuesday night in style, 5-0 behind rookie Chris Heston's no-hitter. So the Giants have won three of their last four games, while New York has lost five of its last seven.

At 33-26 San Francisco trails the division-leading Dodgers by one game in the NL West.

At 31-28 New York leads the NL East by a half-game over second-place Washington.

This is the first series this season matching these two teams. Last year the Giants took the season series from the Mets six games to one.

 

Wednesday's Starting Pitchers
Harvey (6-3, 3.05), by our tough accounting, is six-for-11 on quality starts this season. Last time out he limited Arizona to two runs through seven innings, while just before that he gave up four runs through eight innings against Miami. He's also been touched for five homers over his last three starts.

On the season Harvey has allowed fewer hits, 60, than innings pitched, 73 2/3, with just 12 walks and 80 strikeouts. New York is 7-4 in Harvey's starts, with the totals going 6-5.

In two career starts against San Francisco, the most recent coming in July of 2013, Harvey allowed five ER through 13 innings. The Mets split those two games.

Hudson (3-5, 4.41) is seven-for-11 on quality starts this season, with two in a row. Last time out he held Pittsburgh to two runs through seven innings, and just before that he held Atlanta to one run through seven frames. On the season Hudson has allowed 73 hits in 69 1/3 innings; the Giants are only 5-6 in Hudson's starts, with the totals leaning UNDER by a 7-3 margin, thanks in large part to some lousy run support.

Last year Hudson started twice against New York, allowing five ER and 16 hits through 10 innings; San Francisco managed to win both those games.

Willie gives us full coverage for the Giants vs. Mets mid-week series

Wednesday's Batting Splits
San Francisco ranks second in the Majors this season with a .333 team OBP against right-handed pitching.

New York ranks 23rd against righties with a .301 OBP.

 

Injury Update
San Francisco OF Hunter Pence has missed recent action with a sore wrist, and seems unlikely to play tonight.

The Mets, meanwhile, continue to play without David Wright and Daniel Murphy, but C Travis d'Arnaud could come off the DL and play today.

 


Giants-Mets Free Picks
Yes, it's difficult to go against Harvey, but the value on today's line resides with the Giants. Also, with these two starters going, we're thinking runs might be hard to come by tonight, so we're also taking the under with our MLB picks.

MLB Picks: San Francisco +141 at GT Bets and UNDER seven runs at BetDSI