Hamels Will Lead Rangers Past Slumping Mariners In MLB Tuesday Action

Swinging Johnson

Tuesday, August 30, 2016 4:41 PM UTC

Tuesday, Aug. 30, 2016 4:41 PM UTC

The Mariners are rapidly fading from postseason contention as they dropped the first of a three-game set to the Texas Rangers. Let’s review the MLB odds in this one tonight and cash a winning ticket.

Swinger’s MLB Record: 68-43, +23.40 units
When you write an MLB picks column anywhere from four to seven days a week, there are mornings when you wake up and replay the previous night’s selection in your mind, scrutinizing why the bet worked – or didn’t. Fortunately this season there have been far more good mornings than bad as evidenced by our 61 percent cash rate and making a $100 bettor more than $2300 up to this point in the season, based all on one unit plays.

Last night we added another notch in the win column as we backed a chalky home favorite in the Texas Rangers after cashing a good sized underdog on Sunday with the Oakland Athletics. It’s a mixed bag of chalk and dogs my friends, and if you don’t adjust game-by-game then you won’t make money over the long haul. Let’s see what the MLB odds makers are dealing on this middle game of a three-game set between Seattle and Texas tonight.


Rangers Ace Takes the Hill
The Texas Rangers are cruising into the month of September atop the AL West by virtue of timely hitting, sound defense and a 1-2 punch at the top of their rotation featuring Cole Hamels and Yu Darvish. The undisputed ace of the rotation, Cole Hamels, takes his 14-4 record along with his 2.67 ERA into tonight’s showdown with the Mariners.

In his last outing Hamels was a stone cold killer, limiting the Indians to only two hits of eight innings of shutout baseball en route to an effortless 9-0 victory. The veteran southpaw has registered quality starts in seven of his last eight starts and is 5-2 with a sparkling 1.59 ERA in those outings. This season Hamels has faced the Mariners’ lineup twice and is 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA in those performances. The four-time All-Star is 5-2 when starting against the Mariners with an ERA of 3.44 and a WHIP of 1.280 throughout his career. His team's record is 6-2 (+3.4 units) in these starts.


Betting Analysis
The Rangers delivered a 6-3 win to the Arlington faithful last night and try as I might, there’s little reason to doubt Hamels will lead the charge again tonight as Texas has simply owned Seattle this season. Texas is 9-4 (6.6 units) this year in all games between the clubs and 5-2 at Arlington (+3.0 units). They now trot out their best pitcher against a team that is spiraling quickly out of playoff contention, having lost six of their last seven including last night’s 6-3 setback to the Rangers.

The Mariners will send James Paxton to the bump to hopefully stop the bleeding. Paxton was on the DL after his August 7th appearance where he pitched Seattle to a 6-2 victory over the Rays. Paxton recovered from a contusion on his arm courtesy of a line drive suffered in the Tampa Bay game and tossed five innings of three-run, seven hit ball against the White Sox in his return last Thursday.

I am all for value betting and have even lined up against a surefire ace, the caliber of Cole Hamels, if I feel his team is slumping or an opposing pitcher is rounding into form after several solid performances. They say there is no value in losing but to blindly back big favorites is a recipe for disaster. I simply cannot find enough value in the staggering Mariners with a young pitcher coming back from the DL for the second time this season. Cole Hamels is a stud and his team is rolling. I’m going to roll right along with them.


Free MLB Pick: Rangers -152
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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