Great Betting Value On Matt Cain​​ & Giants As Underdogs Against Orioles For Your MLB Pick

Matt Cain

Charles Stark

Friday, August 12, 2016 3:01 PM UTC

Friday, Aug. 12, 2016 3:01 PM UTC

Today Giant's veteran All-Star pitcher Matt Cain who has struggled this season takes the mound versus a very good Baltimore Orioles team. Because of his struggles San Francisco is a small home underdog but which team will come out on top for your MLB pick?

Baltimore Orioles vs San Francisco Giants 
Odds makers have San Francisco is a +107 home underdog like at Pinnacle sports. For my MLB pick, I like the Giants in this spot as although Cain has struggled they remain among one of the best teams in baseball. With a 32-21 home record, I like any plus money value given at MLB odds for them when they play in San Francisco.


Baltimore Orioles
Dylan Bundy gets the start for Baltimore and comes in with a 3.05 ERA and 1.25 whip making his sixth career start on the mound. There is definitely a lot to like about the young 23-year-old pitcher, however despite the fact he has been pitching extremely well it is still a bit early in his career for him to be favored on the road against a team as polished as San Francisco in my opinion. Bundy has been very good in his last four starts allowing five total earned runs over a span of 23 innings while allowing just 12 total hits, although three of those hits were home runs. The numbers are not all that surprising because this happens from time to time when young pitchers in the league start off looking much better than their true abilities. 

Once teams get caught up on some tendencies and better their scouting reports things start to normalize. When that happens we see these young pitchers come back down to earth and get knocked around a little bit which is what I expect will happen with him eventually, and which puts value on backing the Giants. At the plate Baltimore ranks among one of the better hitting teams in the league especially in the power categories making first in home runs per game and fifth in OPS. Still, they can struggle at times and prior to their nice game to finish off their recent series in Oakland they went three straight games scoring just two, one, and then zero runs.


San Francisco Giants
Veteran Matt Cain gets the start and comes in with a 5.16 ERA and 1.51 whip this season. His struggles have been well documented but we are talking about a guy with a 3.54 career ERA and 1.20 whip. As he has come back from the disabled list his inning count has been pretty low but in his last two games he has been extremely good allowing zero earned runs off of five hits in 10 innings both of them wins for the Giants. In fact, the last six times he has been on the mound and pitched over three innings the Giants have won and I expect him to pitch at least five innings today. 

If he can keep Baltimore in the park I believe he will give San Francisco a very good chance to win this game and with his career average of allowing just less than one per nine innings he can do just that. Offensively the Giants can be tough at home as most of their offensive stats improve in San Francisco. Their batting average jumps from .254 to .263, and their OPS from .721 to .735. These are not monumental jumps but they tend to find a way to win at home and they are very difficult team to strike out ranking third in the league overall in the least amount per game.


Free MLB Pick: Giants +107 
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle
July record: 13-9
August record: 6-3

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