Grab Ray's Moneyline As The Valuable MLB Pick Against Underperforming Twins

Joe Gavazzi

Thursday, June 2, 2016 2:36 PM GMT

Thursday, Jun. 2, 2016 2:36 PM GMT

The 2nd worst team in the league is actually these Tampa Bay Rays who at 22-29 are still playing greater than .400 ball. Nonetheless, there's profit to draw from this match vs. Twins.

Tampa Bay Rays (Moore) (-115) vs. Minnesota Twins (Gibson) 8:10 PM ET
But the Rays have owned this series at this site winning 16/22 recent games. Neither of these teams is playing well of late with the Rays winning just 2/12 road games recently and Minnesota winning just 2/13 home games of late.  

 

Minnesota Twins
While I expect Minnesota to remain firmly entrenched as the worst team in the league, I believe there is plenty of upside for the Tampa Bay Rays. This thinking is based on my analysis of the teams OPS. Minnesota has the #24 batting OPS at .688 and the #29 pitching OPS at .816.  Those numbers confirm their ineptitude. For Tampa Bay, their future runup is imminent.  The Rays have a #12 batting OPS at .737 while they are #8 in total pitching at .698. These OPS indicators, particularly with more than 50 games of data from which to draw, have proven to be clear indicators of June success. I am looking for a solid winning month of June from the Rays while the Twins remain mired in the basement. What better place for the Tampa Bay turnaround than in this 4 game weekend series. 

Tampa Bay Rays
There is pitching support in the matchup as well. For the Rays, Moore has underachieved for the season at 2-3 with a 5.31 ERA. But he pitched a solid return to form game his last time out. In a 9-5 victory vs. NYY, Moore worked 6 2/3 IP allowing just 3 runs and 8 hits. Moore also has a decent history against the Twins where in 3 starts, he has a 3.24 ERA. There is little to like about his mound opponent, Gibson. He has struggled with an ailing right shoulder since April 22nd. His year-to-date numbers are 0-3 with a 6.10 ERA and .823 WHIP. A poor history vs. Tampa Bay shows that Gibson is 0-4 with an 8.85 ERA. When he leaves the game, he will be backed by a bullpen that has a .827 OPS.  

 

Conclusions
For the bold, you may consider all or part of your wager on the run line taking back 40 cents with the Rays.  9 of their 11 road wins have come by 2 or more runs, while 27/37 Minnesota losses have come by 2 or more runs. For the more conservative among you, I invite you to put the MLB odds in your favor with my money line MLB pick on the Tampa Bay Rays in Thursday night action.

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Free MLB Pick: Tampa Bay Rays -116
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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