Gimme 5: Players to Back (Wieters) or Fade for Prop Bets Wednesday

Jordan Sharp

Wednesday, May 2, 2018 2:44 PM UTC

Wednesday, May. 2, 2018 2:44 PM UTC

MLB prop betting takes mounds of research and combing through hours of stats to find the perfect odds. Luckily, here at Sportsbook Review we have complied a daily report of the best prop betting matchups that Wednesday’s slate has to offer.

Matt Wieters vs. Ivan Nova

The Nationals have roughed up Nova in the past, and on Wednesday it might be more of the same for the Pirates’ right-hander. Over 85 total Nationals batters faced in his career, Nova is allowing them to post a 23-for-78 (.295) batting line with 4 homers, 10 RBI and 12 total extra-base hits.

No player has seen more success against Nova than Wieters. The Nats’ catcher spent a lot of time beating up on Nova when they were both in the AL East, but it’s likely to continue even now in the NL East. Wieters is a career 13-for-39 (.333) hitter against Nova with 4 home runs, 7 RBI and 7 total extra-base hits. If the price is right, back Wieters in one of his props on Wednesday.

Paul Goldschmidt vs. Hyun-Jin Ryu

Goldschmidt has made this article several times this season. The main reason for this is that he’s one of the best hitters in baseball. However, much like Wieters and the Nats against Nova, Goldschmidt and the Diamondbacks are quick to rake against the Dodgers' Ryu.

Ryu has allowed the D-backs to hit 27-for-80 (.337) against him with 2 home runs, 14 RBI and 11 runs scored. Goldschmidt has done most of the damage going 10-for-22 (.455) with both of the home runs and 7 RBI. His teammate A.J. Pollock isn’t too bad, either, at 9-for-26 (.346). Feel free to take a shot on Goldy’s home run odds.

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Paul Goldschmidt has slashed .429/.478/.810 in 23 PAs vs Hyun-Jin Ryu.

Throughout last season, Goldschmidt avg'd an elite 1.68 R+RBI independent @DraftKings pts/PA vs LHP at Chase. pic.twitter.com/SNMWyg3pmU

— Swish Analytics (@swishanalytics) April 2, 2018
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Buster Posey vs. Clayton Richard

Speaking of familiar faces, the Giants' Posey is right back in our Gimme 5 for Wednesday. We included him a few weeks ago against ' Richard, but Posey was unable to record a hit off the Padres’ lefty. However, that game was in San Diego, and tonight Richard's pitching in San Francisco.

Over the last three seasons, Richard’s ERA goes from 4.04 at home to 4.64 on the road, and on top of that Richard has struggled against Posey in the past. Even including Posey’s 0-fer against Richard this season, Posey is a career 12-for-32 (.375) with 2 homers and 9 RBI against the southpaw.

Chris Iannetta vs. Yu Darvish

Darvish is good at baseball. That’s my expert opinion. Iannetta has found this out several times in their last meetings, and if Iannetta is catching for the Rockies on Wednesday, he might not be worth the risk in any sort of prop betting.

Iannetta has struck out in half of his 16 career at bats vs. Darvish, and he only has 2 total hits in that stretch as well. Iannetta might get the night off because of this, but he is definitely a fade if he’s starting behind the plate.

Jed Lowrie vs. James Paxton

Oakland's Lowrie has been swinging an extremely hot bat to start the year, hitting .336 with 7 home runs and 28 RBI. His RBI total ranks 2nd in the majors right now, but Lowrie has struggled in the past against Seattle's Paxton. If that continues Wednesday, Lowrie might be a player to avoid in prop betting.

Lowrie is 3-for-15 (.200) with a 33.3% strikeout rate against Paxton in the past. Paxton’s ERA so far this season of 5.12 is a bit misleading because of a couple of bad starts. If he can bring his best stuff on Wednesday, Lowrie may suffer at the plate some.

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