Gimme 5: Players to Back (Smoak) or Fade (Mauer) for Prop Bets Tuesday

Jordan Sharp

Tuesday, April 24, 2018 2:23 PM UTC

Tuesday, Apr. 24, 2018 2:23 PM UTC

MLB prop betting takes mounds of research and combing through hours of stats to find the perfect odds. Sportsbook Review has complied a daily report of the best prop betting matchups on Tuesday's slate.

MLB Tuesday: Gimme 5

Justin Smoak vs. Rick Porcello

It’s a strange Tuesday night of baseball, because there are a lot more hitters who have bad matchups than good. However, Toronto's Justin Smoak is lined up on the right side of things tonight against Boston righty Rick Porcello. Despite Smoak’s slower start to the season, he is a career 8-for-30 (.267) hitter against Porcello, with 3 homers, 10 RBI, and 5 extra-base hits.

Smoak has also walked 6 times against Porcello, and all this adds up to an on-base percentage of close to .400. If Smoak can get on base a few times tonight, his odds to drive in and/or score runs could be a strong value for your MLB picks.

Khris Davis vs. Cole Hamels

Texas left-hander Cole Hamels has not been great against the Athletics during his career. The A’s hitters are starting off the season strong, and they have been strong against Hamels with a combined .316 batting average, 7 home runs, 16 RBI, and 16 extra-base hits

Khris Davis has been one of the bigger contributors to Hamels’ struggles.

Hamels does own a 27.2% strikeout rate against the Athletics, and Davis won’t be immune to that. However, Davis is a career 4-for-13 with 3 homers 5 RBI, and 5 walks against Hamels. If there is one player to target for the A’s, it’s Davis.

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Khris Davis vs. Cole Hamels might be the matchup that makes the difference in the game. pic.twitter.com/rgG9IPqX9p

— FOX Sports Southwest (@FOXSportsSW) April 4, 2018
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Joe Mauer vs. CC Sabathia

There are a ton of players who have struggled in their matchups against starting pitchers today, but none have as bad of an extended history in their matchup than Joe Mauer. The Twins’ veteran first baseman has really struggled in his career against Sabathia with a 9-for-46 (.196) average, 0 homers, and 17 strikeouts.

Sabathia and Mauer are on the downsides of their careers, but the sustained success from Sabathia is noteworthy. The Yankees’ southpaw has produced a strong start to the season and if can continue that tonight, the Twins and Mauer may be players to fade based on the MLB odds.

J.A. Happ vs. Red Sox Batters

Speaking of bad matchups for hitters, the Red Sox may not be a great play against the Blue Jays lefty, J.A. Happ. Happ has been masterful in his matchups against the Red Sox, and hitters such as Mookie Betts, Hanley Ramirez, and Jackie Bradley have really struggled against Happ.

Happ owns just a 17.8% strikeout rate against the Red Sox, but the hitters have a .196 batting average over 153 at-bats with just 1 home runs.

Zack Cozart vs. Charlie Morton

The Angels have had a little trouble against Houston's Charlie Morton, and Zack Cozart has led those struggles in his career matchups against the righty. Cozart has a 1-for-14 career batting clip against Morton with 3 strikeouts.

There is also the fact that Morton has been dominating hitters to start the season. Over his first four starts he has a 0.72 ERA and is 3-0 with 33 strikeouts. Even though the Angels’ lineup has been good, it might be a night to jump off them for prop purposes against Morton.

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