Gimme 5: Players to Back (Seager) or Fade (Orioles) for Prop Bets Sunday

Jordan Sharp

Saturday, April 21, 2018 5:14 PM UTC

Saturday, Apr. 21, 2018 5:14 PM UTC

MLB prop betting takes mounds of research and combing through hours of stats to find the perfect odds. Luckily, here at Sportsbook Review we have complied a daily report of the best prop betting matchups that Sunday slate has to offer.

Kyle Seager vs. Martin Perez

Martin Perez has not had a lot of career success against the Mariners’ batters and Kyle Seager has been the biggest threat to Perez for the M’s. Seager’s impressive .364 batting average over 47 plate appearances against the Rangers’ southpaw is only the tip of the iceberg.

Seager has 4 home runs, 7 RBI, and 5 extra base hits over his career at bats versus Perez and with the way most of his teammates crush Perez too, it’s worth a shot on his runs, hits and RBI prop lines from Bovada on Sunday.

Giancarlo Stanton vs. Jaime Garcia

Giancarlo Stanton has been the topic of much debate in the New York area thanks to his early-season struggles. However, moving him down a spot in the order behind Didi Gregorius has seemingly worked. Stanton went 1-for-4 on Friday with a 2-run home run hitting out of the cleanup spot, and if he can continue that, and still hit ahead of a dangerous hitter in Gary Sanchez, Stanton has a matchup he should be able to exploit on Sunday.

The sample size is very small with only 17 plate appearances, but Stanton is 7-for-12 (.583) with 3 home runs, 6 RBI, 5 total extra base hits, and 5 walks against the Blue Jays’ lefty.

Justin Upton vs. Johnny Cueto

The matchup between the Angels and Giants should be a good one to close out their inter-league series. Not many hitters have had prolonged success against Johnny Cueto, but Justin Upton has been one of the exceptions among hitters who have 20-plus plate appearances against the Giants’ right-hander.

Upton is a career .300 hitter (6-for-20) versus Cueto, with 2 home runs, 2 RBI, and 4 total extra base hits. Cueto has opened the year red-hot with a 0.45 ERA through 20 innings pitched. However, if the odds are right on Sunday, it might be worth taking a flier on Upton to hit a home run, or collect multiple runs plus RBI.

Orioles’ hitters vs. Corey Kluber

Corey Kluber has shut down the Baltimore Orioles in his career. The O’s are a combined 9-for-67 (.134) against Kluber, and the Indians’ ace has a strikeout rate of 34.8% during those plate appearances. Simply put, the O’s are at a severe disadvantage in all of their MLB Odds on Sunday.

With a moneyline that should be in favor of the road team, a prop bet on Kluber might be the way to go to make money in this one. His strikeout total will likely be sky-high considering he’s racked up double-digit strikeouts in three of his last four starts against the O’s. However, it could still be a valuable play during the afternoon start.

Robinson Cano vs. Martin Perez

As a team the Mariners are hitting 47-for-154 (.305) with 10 home runs, 20 RBI, and 15 total extra base hits. As we went over at the top of this article, Seager has been the most successful against Perez, followed by Nelson Cruz, who has 3 career home runs off Perez.

However, the love stops at left-hander Robinson Cano. He is a career 5-for-25 (.200) hitter against Perez, so that particular lefty-lefty matchup has given him trouble.

The Mariners’ second baseman had a horrible year against southpaws in 2017, batting .208 against them. This season he’s started to turn things around as Cano is batting 6-for-20 (.300) with 3 doubles, 3 RBI, and 4 runs scored off left-handers. However, with his history against Perez, I’m not ready to buy into a turnaround just yet for Cano versus left-handed pitching.

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