Here at Sportsbook Review, we have compiled a daily report of the best MLB prop betting matchups that the Thursday, July 12 slate has to offer.
Steve Pearce has gotten some good playing time since being acquired by Boston a few weeks ago. He also gives them a huge boost against southpaw J.A. Happ, who has given the Sox a lot of trouble over the years. Pearce is 10-for-28 (.357) in his career versus Happ, with a pair of doubles, five home runs, and 12 RBI. Considering the rest of the Red Sox are 25-for-153 (.163) against Happ, expect Pearce to be in a favorable spot in the lineup Thursday.
Charlie Blackmon (Rockies) vs. Robbie Ray (Diamondbacks)
Of all the hitters on Thursday’s short MLB slate, Charlie Blackmon hitting at home against Robbie Ray may be the best matchup any hitter has. Blackmon is 15-for-30 (.500) with four home runs and 11 RBI against Ray over his career, and this season he has even better splits against southpaws. Blackmon is hitting .295 with a .340 wOBA against southpaws this season, and even though his power drops a lot against left-handers, his strong history against Ray omits that for me. Feel free to back Blackmon in your prop bets Thursday.
Michael Conforto (Mets) vs. Max Scherzer (Nationals)
This is one of those matchups where despite Michael Conforto having a great history against Max Scherzer, it’s hard to bet against Scherzer in any situation. However, Conforto is 6-for-18 (.333) with three solo homers versus the Nats’ ace. Conforto has struck out seven times against Scherzer over his career too, so while he’s far from a safe play in any scenario, it might be a good idea to play it safe with any Conforto props. A small home run longshot might even be in order.
Mookie Betts (Red Sox) vs. J.A. Happ (Blue Jays)
I am in the camp that believes Mookie Betts may be the best player in baseball. That’s a tough argument to make with Mike Trout having the season he is, but Betts is phenomenal nonetheless. However, Betts’ matchup against Happ could be one that sends Betts into fade territory. I’ve backed Betts so much this season in props that I probably can’t bring myself to do it, but Betts is only 5-for-29 (.172) lifetime against Happ with a home run and three strikeouts. It’s probably best to lay off Betts on Thursday’s prop cards.
Jonathan Lucroy (Athletics) vs. Charlie Morton (Astros)
Jonathan Lucroy could be in line for a day off Thursday, but if that is not the case, he is an excellent fade candidate against Charlie Morton. Lucroy is just 2-for-20 (.100) lifetime against Morton with an RBI and three strikeouts. If Lucroy is behind the plate against Morton, look for some good chances for "under" plays on his batting line.