Gimme 5: Players to Back (Lucroy) or Fade (Zobrist) for Prop Bets Friday

jonathan lucroy

Jordan Sharp

Friday, April 13, 2018 2:05 PM UTC

Friday, Apr. 13, 2018 2:05 PM UTC

MLB prop betting takes mounds of research and combing through hours of stats to find the perfect odds. Luckily, here at Sportsbook Review we have complied a daily report of the best prop betting matchups that Friday’s slate has to offer.

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Jonathan Lucroy vs. Mike Leake

Lucroy is now on the Athletics, and while most of the A’s hitters have raked against Leake (see below), Lucroy is on another level when it comes to batter vs. pitcher success. Lucroy owns a 19-for-38 (.500) lifetime batting average against Leake, with 2 home runs, 8 RBI and 5 total extra-base hits. Lucroy also has a career OPS of 1.273 against Leake, which should lead to a ton of run production from the A’s catcher. There might even be some beard tickling tonight if Lucroy has a big night at the plate.

Other A's Hitters vs. Leake

Not only does Lucroy own Leake, but also the rest of the A’s hitters have had plenty of success against Leake too. Combined with Lucroy, the A’s are 36-for-91 (.396) lifetime against Leake, and even if you take away Lucroy from the equation, the Athletics are still batting a clean 17-for-53 (.321) against Leake.

During his career, Leake has allowed 19 total runs against the A’s in three starts, and if there are odds for runs allowed, or just simply the A’s team total tonight, it might be worth a shot on the 'over' if Leake is giving up hits and walking guys. The A’s are also only -115 moneyline favorites.

Ben Zobrist vs. Anibal Sanchez

While there are some nice hitting matchups based on historical BvP numbers on Friday, there are also some pitchers who have gotten the better of some of the hitters they will face tonight. The Cubs’ Zobrist’s matchup against Sanchez and the Braves is one of them.

Because of the back issues of Anthony Rizzo, Zobrist is going to have to play first base more while Rizzo is on the DL. However, assuming Zobrist is back in the lineup, it might be best to avoid him in your prop betting. Zobrist is a career 3-for-25 (.120) hitter off Sanchez with 3 walks, 2 strikeouts and 0 extra-base hits.

Marcus Stroman vs. Indians Hitters

Another pitcher who has the ability to sit down a ton of hitters tonight is the Blue Jays’ Stroman. The young flamethrower has owned the Indians during his career, and with a ton of talent and ability it wouldn’t surprise me to see that continue.

Over 88 total Indians batters faced during his young career, and Stroman has held the Tribe to a .232 batting average. Of the 19 total hits allowed by Stroman during those plate appearances, only 1 has gone for extra bases. The Blue Jays are moneyline underdogs in the MLB odds against the Tribe, but if Stroman has his best stuff working on the road it might be a dog type of day for the Jays.

Astros Hitters vs. Cole Hamels

If there’s another group of hitters with a common good matchup Friday, it’s the Houston Astros. Led by Brian McCann’s 3 home runs and 16 career RBI off the Rangers' Hamels from their time against one another in the NL East, even lefty hitters from the Astros have had some career success against the southpaw Hamels.

Combining McCann’s numbers with those of Jose Altuve, Jake Marisnick and Evan Gattis, the four Astros are a lifetime 37-for-129 (.287) off Hamels with 8 home runs, 23 RBI and 18 extra-base hits. Assuming we get another lineup from the Astros with all four of those guys in it, you might want to consider a play on the total, or on the Astros’ run total for this one. They are already heavy and very chalky favorites in the moneyline against Texas.

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