Gimme 5: Players to Back (Harper) or Fade (Calhoun) for Prop Bets Saturday

Jordan Sharp

Friday, September 14, 2018 3:46 PM UTC

Friday, Sep. 14, 2018 3:46 PM UTC

Here at Sportsbook Review, we have compiled a daily report of the best MLB prop betting matchups that the Saturday, September 15 slate has to offer.

MLB: Saturday's Gimme 5

Bryce Harper (Nationals) vs. Julio Teheran (Braves)

Bryce Harper may not be a National for much longer, but on Saturday he’ll still be one, and that means he gets to have a matchup with Braves’ ace Julio Teheran. There are several major league hitters who have struggled in their careers against Teheran, but Harper seems to be Teheran kryptonite.

Harper is 18-for-40 (.450) lifetime against Teheran, with eight home runs and 19 RBI! Along with nine walks, his on base percentage against the Braves’ starter is .560, and with a 1.125 OPS, Harper is a prime prop betting candidate on Saturday. However, if his juice is too rich because of the strong matchup, these two guys below Harper are just as good, if not better values.

Eugenio Suarez (Reds) vs. Jon Lester (Cubs)

Eugenio Suarez is somewhat quietly having a huge season for a terrible Reds team and hitting in the launching pad that is Great American Ballpark certainly doesn’t hurt him. The Reds are on the road against the Cubs in Wrigley this weekend, but a Saturday matchup against lefty Jon Lester is enough to warrant backing Suarez in some prop wagers.

Suarez is 10-for-31 (.323) in his career against Lester, with three home runs, six total extra base hits, and seven RBI. Suarez owns a.463 wOBA, .318 isolated power, and 1.118 OPS across 153 plate appearances against southpaws this season. Out of players with at least 120 plate appearances against lefties, his .463 wOBA ranks third in the league behind only Nolan Arenado and Mookie Betts against left-handed pitching.

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Eugenio Suarez is one of the most underrated players in baseball

— Mike Canan (@Mike_Canan) September 13, 2018

Travis Shaw (Brewers) vs. Ivan Nova (Pirates)

Travis Shaw is still not a great hitter against lefties, but when a right-hander is on the mound against him, Shaw tends to be a nice value at the plate. Not only does he get a right-hander on the hill Saturday, he gets Ivan Nova, who he has owned in the past.

Shaw is an insane 12-for-16 (.750) in his career against the Pirates’ righty, with three home runs, five total extra base hits, and eight RBI. Considering Shaw owns a .374 wOBA and lofty .290 isolated power versus right-handed pitching this season, load up on Shaw props.

Matt Holliday (Rockies) vs. Madison Bumgarner (Giants)

Matt Holliday has been on fire at the plate ever since rejoining the Rockies at the Major League level, and he is rolling into San Francisco with a tough matchup for him and the rest of the Rockies.

Madison Bumgarner is on the hill for the Giants and if you take away Carlos Gonzalez’s unexplainable success against the Giants’ lefty, the rest of the Colorado hitters have not fared that well. Holliday is one of those hitters. The veteran is only 3-or-18 (.167) with three walks and five strikeouts in his career against Bumgarner. Even with how hot he’s been, if Holliday is in the lineup, he’s not a bad fade candidate for player props.

Kole Calhoun (Angels) vs. Erasmo Ramirez (Mariners)

Kole Calhoun ascended to the top of the Angels’ batting order during a red-hot month of July, but since then the Angels’ outfielder has done little with the opportunity at the plate. He is hitting .125 coming into play on Friday, and on Saturday his matchup with Erasmo Ramirez makes Calhoun a straight fade. Calhoun is only 2-for-16 (.125) with three walks and three strikeouts in his career against Ramirez. Considering his slump, don’t expect much, if anything at the plate from him Saturday night.

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