Gimme 5: Players to Back (Braun) or Fade (Crawford) for Prop Bets Tuesday

Jordan Sharp

Tuesday, May 1, 2018 1:24 PM UTC

Tuesday, May. 1, 2018 1:24 PM UTC

MLB prop betting takes mounds of research and combing through hours of stats to find the perfect odds. Sportsbook Review has complied a daily report of the best prop betting matchups on Tuesday’s slate.

MLB Tuesday: Gimme 5Ryan Braun vs. Homer Bailey

Milwaukee's Ryan Braun has been heating back up at the plate recently after a down series against the Cubs over the weekend. Now Braun is playing in the launching pad that is Great American Ballpark and the Reds’ resident pitching. However, not only is Braun getting hotter and playing in a great hitter’s park tonight, he has a matchup against Homer Bailey that he has owned in the past.

[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "

Ryan Braun ❤️'s playing against Homer Bailey.

— Samantha Kuffel (@skuffel_waow) September 4, 2017

Braun is a career 16-for-47 (.340) hitter against Bailey with 4 home runs, 9 RBI, and 8 total extra-base hits. Braun has struck out 11 times against Bailey, but with a history like that it’s hard to not like Braun in prop betting.

Paul Goldschmidt vs. Clayton Kershaw

Usually I never recommend batters against Clayton Kershaw, but Paul Goldschmidt is a special kind of hitter. Despite hitting only .224 in 39 career at-bats against Kershaw, the Diamondbacks’ first baseman has 3 home runs and 9 RBI off him. Despite having a 34.0% strikeout rate against Kershaw, the Dodgers’ southpaw has struggled lately and that could give the upper hand to Goldy.

Kershaw has allowed 7 earned runs over his last two starts, and in the start before those two he allowed Goldschmidt to take him deep. While it’s probably not the night to take a chance on Goldschmidt’s runs, hits and RBI with your MLB picks, it’s definitely a night to take a chance on his home run odds with Kershaw struggling some and the Dodgers in free-fall.

Felix Hernandez vs. Athletics’ Batters

There are a couple of batter-pitcher matchups today that favor the pitcher, and the best one seems to be the Mariners’ Felix Hernandez. While the A’s have been much better on offense this season compared to years past, that doesn’t end the fact that they have not had much success against King Felix.

A’s batters own a 32-for-178 (.222) batting clip against Hernandez, with 6 home runs and 12 extra-base hits. Hernandez has a 24.3% strikeout rate against the A’s, and while he got tagged with the loss earlier this season in his first meeting with Oakland, he allowed only 2 earned runs and struck out 7 batters. If he can get some run support, it could be another good pitching night for Hernandez at home.

Brandon Crawford vs. Tyson Ross

Brandon Crawford and the Giants are going to try and take advantage of the Dodgers’ scuffles tonight as they start a series with the Padres. Tyson Ross is on the hill for San Diego, and despite the game being in San Francisco, it could be a rough night for the Giants’ shortstop.

Crawford is a career 6-for-24 (.250) against Ross with no extra-base hits and a 25.0% strikeout rate. Crawford is already struggling to start the season with a .189 batting average though his first 96 plate appearances. Considering he is 4 for his last 43 (.089) and he struggles against Ross, fade Crawford tonight.

Edwin Encarnacion vs. Doug Fister

Edwin Encarnacion is hitting only .160 to start the season, and he is 0-for-11 in his last three games. Now the Indians’ slugger goes against the Rangers and Doug Fister in a matchup worth avoiding Encarnacion again.

Through his long career, Encarnacion is 5-for-27 (.185) with a home run and 5 strikeouts against Fister. With the big man struggling this season, it might be best until he shows some prolonged success at the plate before taking chances on Encarnacion’s props.

comment here