Gimme 5: Players to Back (Blackmon) or Fade in Wednesday Props

Jordan Sharp

Tuesday, July 10, 2018 2:38 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jul. 10, 2018 2:38 PM UTC

Here at Sportsbook Review, we have compiled a daily report of the best MLB prop betting matchups that the Wednesday, July 11 slate has to offer.

MLB Wednesday: Gimme 5

Charlie Blackmon (Rockies) vs. Shelby Miller (Diamondbacks)

Charlie Blackmon has seen his stats decline significantly in 2018, but the guy is still a machine at the plate. He has also continued to mash right-handed pitching, despite the slower year. Blackmon is only slightly under his .371 career wOBA against righties, and that is good news for his matchup Wednesday against Shelby Miller. Blackmon is 7-for-23 (.304) with a home run and three RBI against Miller over the years, and with Blackmon starting to heat up some this month, he’s a nice play depending on the odds in Coors Field.

Paul Goldschmidt (Diamondbacks) vs. German Marquez (Rockies)

For a guy who has been on fire since the start of June, I really don’t have to say that much about Paul Goldschmidt. He continues to rake and we continue to profit, so there is very little reason to slow that train down as we head into his battle with German Marquez. Goldschmidt is 8-for-15 (.533) lifetime against Marquez with three home runs, five total extra-base hits, and six RBI. Goldy has also been murdering the ball on the road this year with a .321 batting average and .450 wOBA away from Chase Field. Considering this game is at Coors Field, load up on Goldschmidt’s prop odds.

[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "

Paul Goldschmidt is now the most decorated All-Star in #Dbacks history. #GenerationDbacks

— Arizona Diamondbacks (@Dbacks) July 9, 2018

Tim Beckham (Orioles) vs. Sonny Gray (Yankees)

Tim Beckham props may be hard to find around the industry, but if they are to be found on Wednesday, he could be an excellent play against Sonny Gray. The Yankees’ right-hander has not been sharp over his last three trips to the hill. He has allowed 15 earned runs over 11.0 innings in his last three starts, and that bodes well for Beckham. The O’s infielder is 7-for-16 (.438) with a pair of homers and six RBI over his career versus Gray.

Odubel Herrera (Phillies) vs. Jacob deGrom (Mets)

One of the hottest hitters in baseball just six weeks ago, Odubel Herrera has regressed back to mean in June and July. He is hitting below the Mendoza Line this month, and that likely makes him an excellent fade candidate Wednesday against Jacob deGrom. Herrera is only 6-for-27 (.222) in his career against deGrom, with two RBI and eight strikeouts. With the way Herrera has been swinging the bat lately, he’s probably a nice "under" play somewhere.

Shin-Soo Choo (Rangers) vs. Chris Sale (Red Sox)

As a team, the Rangers are just 19-for-152 (.195) in their careers against Chris Sale, with a pair of home runs, seven RBI, and a strikeout rate of 39.3%. There are several Rangers who have seen their averages dip when matched against Sale, and Shin-Soo Choo has seen it the worst. Choo is just 2-for-26 (.077) lifetime against Sale with one homer and 12 strikeouts. Fade him at will if he is even in the lineup Wednesday night.

comment here