Gimme 5: Players to Back (Arenado) or Fade (Betts) for Prop Bets Saturday

Jordan Sharp

Saturday, May 12, 2018 3:25 PM UTC

Saturday, May. 12, 2018 3:25 PM UTC

MLB prop betting takes mounds of research and combing through hours of stats to find the perfect odds. Luckily, here at Sportsbook Review we have complied a daily report of the best prop betting matchups that the Saturday, May 12 slate has to offer.

Nolan Arenado (Rockies) vs. Chase Anderson (Brewers)

The Rockies’ homestand continues Saturday against the Brewers, and Colorado’s third baseman, Nolan Arenado might be a fantastic prop bet. Arenado and the Rockies are squaring off against right-hander Chase Anderson, and while Anderson has been solid this season overall, he’s been super shaky over his last two starts, allowing nine earned runs over 10.2 innings.

Not only has Anderson fallen off a cliff lately, but also he has not been able to get Arenado out over the years. Across 29 career plate appearances versus Anderson, Arenado is 8-for-27 (.296) with 4 home runs and 10 RBI.

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Ian Kinsler (Angels) vs. Kyle Gibson (Twins)

Saturday brings about a ton of prop betting value all throughout the day in MLB. As we head into the final few games of the night, there might not be a better hitter to target in your prop bets than Ian Kinsler. The Angels’ second baseman has really struggled this season, but a matchup with the Twins and Kyle Gibson may be good enough for Kinsler to breakout.

Over 47 career plate appearances versus Gibson, Kinsler is 14-for-42 (.333) with a double, 2 home runs, 5 RBI, and 5 walks. Kinsler has started to hit the ball better lately, as he’s 5-for-12 (.417) with a home run, 3 RBI, and 2 runs scored over his last three games. If he can continue that on Saturday in a strong matchup, his runs/RBI props, or a prop on his total bases could be a fine value.

Jonathan Schoop (Orioles) vs. Chris Archer (Rays)

Even though the Orioles are not having a good season at all, a meeting with Chris Archer and the Rays might be just what the doctor ordered. Baltimore beat up on Tampa Bay 9-4 on Friday, and with Archer on the hill, they may put up a big run line again. As a team the O’s are 65-for-224 (.290) lifetime versus Archer, with 12 home runs, 34 RBI, and 24 total extra base hits.

One of the biggest bashers for the Birds has been Jonathan Schoop. The O’s second baseman is 7-for-22 (.318) with 3 home runs and 5 RBI against Archer over his career, and considering Schoop has 4 RBI and 3 runs scored over his last four games since returning from injury, I like his chances of beating up on Archer Saturday.

Russell Martin (Blue Jays) vs. David Price (Red Sox)

The Blue Jays and Red Sox are playing a matinee on Saturday, and with the way that Russell Martin has hit against David Price in the past, the Blue Jays might choose to start Luke Maile behind the plate. However, if Martin is in the lineup, he can be igored in any potential prop odds. Martin is just 5-for-27 (.185) versus Price with a 33.3% strikeout rate in his career, and as a team, the Jays are just 31-for-162 (.191) versus Price.

Mookie Betts (Red Sox) vs. Marco Estrada (Blue Jays)

Mookie Betts has been fantastic this season for the Red Sox with 13 home runs already. However, with the Sox playing on the road versus the Jays, it might be a night to lay off Betts’ prop odds. He is coming off a 0-for-5 game last night, and over his career Betts is 3-for-25 (.125) versus Marco Estrada. That’s a rough enough split to avoid him in prop wagers.

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