Giants vs. Dodgers MLB Picks: Daily Updates in 3-Game Series

Darin Zank

Monday, April 27, 2015 3:31 PM GMT

Monday, Apr. 27, 2015 3:31 PM GMT

LA took the opener of this series Monday night, avenging for the moment last week's sweep at the hands of the Giants. The Dodgers, with their ace on the hill, are big favorites for Tuesday night's Game 2.

29th APR
Wednesday's Game 3

By: Ron Patrick

 

Game 3 Betting Odds
The best price available in the early betting on LA with Zack Greinke was the -190 offered at WagerWeb, while San Francisco with Ryan Vogelsong could be found getting +183 at 5Dimes. And most of today's MLB odds list the total on tonight's game at seven runs.

 

Game 2 Recap
San Francisco got this series to even with a 2-1 victory Tuesday night, as Madison Bumgarner beat Clay Kershaw for the second time this season. The Giants won as +160 underdogs, and the game played UNDER a total of 5.5 runs.

We backed LA on the run line Tuesday, and while we lost our bet we also saved ourselves about 80 bucks by eschewing the moneyline.

Buster Posey knocked in a run with a two-out base hit off Kershaw in the top of the first, then hit a solo homer in the top of the fourth. The Dodgers got a run back in the bottom of the fourth, but that was it, as Bumsie and Santiago Casilla combined to allow just six LA base-runners all night.

So San Francisco is now 4-1 against the Dodgers this season.

 

Wednesday's Starters
Greinke, by our tough standards, is three-for-four on quality starts this year. Last Friday he threw seven scoreless innings against San Diego, walking three while whiffing seven, and on the season he's allowed just four runs and 21 base-runners (hits + walks) through 26 2/3 innings. LA has won three of his four starts, with the totals going 3-1.

Last year Greinke went a perfect five-for-five on quality starts against San Francisco, giving up just six runs and 31 base-runners through 34 innings. The Dodgers won all five of those games, and four of those games played OVER, mainly because LA's bats gave Greinke some great run support.

Vogelsong is one-for-two on quality starts this season, to go along with a couple of relief appearances. In his first start of this season, three weeks ago, he gave up seven runs in less than five innings against Arizona; he then got nicked for five ER in two relief spots; he then returned to the rotation last Thursday and held these Dodgers to two runs and three hits – including two solo homers – through six innings, with one walk and five strikeouts in a 3-2 Giants win.

Since the beginning of last season Vogelsong is three-for-five on quality starts against Los Angeles, allowing 12 runs and 35 base-runners in 29 1/3 innings. San Francisco won four of those five games, and four of those games stayed UNDER the totals.

With Greinke on Home Mound, Back Dodgers with MLB Picks over Giants

Game 3 Free Pick
Greinke has been tough on the Giants, and we expect more of the same tonight. But the Dodgers are a little banged up at the moment, with Yasiel Puig and Carl Crawford both now on the DL. So instead of playing LA at the high price we're placing out MLB picks with the UNDER.

Free MLB Pick: UNDER seven runs (+100) at BetOnline

 

28th APR
Tuesday's Game 2

By: Ron Patrick

 

Giants-Dodgers Game 1 Recap
LA put up a four spot in the bottom of the third inning Monday night, allowed Frisco to get within 4-3, then pulled away with a run in the sixth and three in the eighth for an 8-3 victory. The Dodgers won as -150 chalk on Monday's MLB odds, and the game played OVER its total of 7.5 runs.

Los Angeles starter Brett Anderson was staked to that 4-0 lead, but couldn't hang on for five innings to earn the victory. He got the first two out in the top of the fifth, but allowed the next four batters to reach base, and ended up getting charged with three runs. The Dodgers pen then did its job, and the bats secured the victory.

LA is now 9-1 at home this season.

San Francisco starter Tim Lincecum got touched for four runs on eight hits and three walks through just four innings.

 

Game 2 Betting Odds
As of early Tuesday morning the best price we could find on Los Angeles and Clay Kershaw was the -174 offered at Pinnacle, while San Francisco and Madison Bumgarner were getting +168 at 5Dimes. Also, most of the MLB betting market was posting a total of six runs on tonight's game, and there were even a few 5.5's out there.

 

Tuesday's Starting Pitchers
This pitching match-up is a rematch from last Wednesday's game, a 3-2 San Francisco victory. The Giants won as +130 home dogs that night, and the game played UNDER a total of 5.5 runs.

Kershaw gave up two runs and three hits through six innings last Wednesday, walking one while striking out nine, while Bumgarner gave up two runs on six hits through 6 1/3 innings, walking two while whiffing six.

The Giants scored the winning run that game on a sacrifice fly in the bottom of the ninth.

Kershaw, by our tough standards, is two-for-four on quality starts this year. Last time out he held these Giants to two runs through six innings, and for the season he's given up 11 earned runs and 32 base-runners (hits + walks) through 24 1/3 innings. LA has split his four starts, with the totals also splitting 2-2.

Since the beginning of last season Kershaw is five-for-five on quality starts against San Francisco, allowing eight runs and 27 hits through 38 innings. The Dodgers went 3-2 in those games.

Bumgarner is two-for-four on quality starts this season. Last time out he held these Dodgers to two runs through 6 1/3 innings, but on the season he's allowed 12 runs and 32 base-runners through 23 1/3 innings. The Giants have split Bumsie's four starts, with the totals going 3-1.

Since the beginning of last season Bumgarner is four-for-six on quality starts against Los Angeles, giving up 11 runs and 33 hits through 39 1/3 innings. The Giants went 4-2 in those starts, with the totals leaning toward the UNDERS 4-2.

 

Giants-Dodgers Game 2 Free Pick
We missed with Kershaw in last week's match-up against Bumgarner, but we'll try to get our money back tonight. And since tonight's line is a bit steep, and we like to take chances, we'll take the home team on the run line for our MLB picks.

Free MLB Pick: Los Angeles -1.5 runs getting +140 at Heritage

 

27th APR
Monday's Series Opener

By: Ron Patrick

 

Giants-Dodgers Game 1 Betting Odds
As of mid-Monday morning Los Angeles and Brett Anderson were lined at -143 at YouWager, while San Francisco and Tim Lincecum were getting +135 at WagerWeb. And most books were listing the total on Monday's series opener at 7.5 runs.

Also, BetOnline was chalking the Dodgers at -220 MLB odds to win this series, with the Giants getting +190.

 

Series Set-Up
Los Angeles just took two of three games from San Diego over the weekend, winning 3-0 Friday and 11-8 Saturday before losing Sunday 3-1. But just before that the Dodgers lost three games at San Francisco. So over the last week LA has been held to three runs or less in five of its last six games.

San Francisco, meanwhile, just split two games at Colorado, losing Friday 6-4 then winning Saturday 5-4 in 11 innings. Sunday's rubber match was then rained out.

Just before that the Giants beat the Dodgers three times in a row. So after a poor start to this season Frisco has won four of its last five heading into this week.

At 11-7 the Dodgers lead the NL West by one game over Colorado and San Diego, while at 8-11 the Giants are in last place, 3.5 games behind LA.

As mentioned above San Francisco opened the season series with LA by sweeping three games up at AT&T Park last week, by scores of 6-2, 3-2 and 3-2. That first game played OVER a total of seven runs, but the last two games both stayed UNDER.

 

Monday's Starters
This pitching face-off is a rematch of a game from last Tuesday, a 6-2 San Francisco victory. The Giants led that game 4-0 after four innings, and closed things out from there, as Lincecum out-pitched Anderson.

Anderson, by our tough standards, is 0-for-three on quality starts this year. Last Tuesday against this San Francisco team he gave up four runs and nine hits through just four innings, and on the season he's allowed nine runs and 23 base-runners (hits + walks) in 15 innings. LA is 1-2 in Anderson's starts, with two of those starts playing UNDER.

Anderson, pitching for Colorado, started once against the Giants last year, going just three innings, allowing one hit and zero runs in a 1-0 Rockies victory.

Lincecum is two-for-three on quality starts this season. Last time out he held these Dodgers to one run and five hits through six innings, and for the season he's allowed four earned runs and 22 base-runners (hits + walks) through 18 innings. San Francisco is 1-2 in Lincecum's starts, while two of those starts stayed UNDER.

Going back to the beginning of last season Lincecum has started three times against Los Angeles, allowing eight runs and 22 base-runners through 15 1/3 innings. The Giants won two of those games.

 

Monday's Batting Splits
San Francisco owns a .312 team OBP and a .371 team slugging percentage against left-handed pitching this season.

Los Angeles owns a .353 OBP and a .494 slugging percentage against righties.

 

Betting Trends
San Francisco is 5-1-1 on the UNDERS over its last seven games.

LA is 8-1 at home this season.

 

Injury Update
San Francisco is still playing without OF Hunter Pence, as he recovers from a broken arm, while LA just placed OF Yasiel Puig on the DL with a bad hamstring.

 

Giants-Dodgers Game 1 Free Pick
Lincecum beat Anderson last week, and LA is without Puig. So the MLB pick with most value on Monday's betting line resides with the underdog.

Free MLB Pick: San Francisco +135 at 5Dimes

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