Giants Offer Top Value MLB Picks on Money Line & Totals Over Marlins in Series Kickoff

Darin Zank

Thursday, May 7, 2015 3:39 PM GMT

Thursday, May. 7, 2015 3:39 PM GMT

San Francisco just had a five-game winning streak snapped Wednesday afternoon. The Giants will try to start another winning run when they host Miami for the opener of a four-game series at AT&T Park Thursday night.

Marlins-Giants Betting Odds
As of mid-Thursday morning most MLB odds were chalking San Francisco and Tim Hudson at right around -135 over Miami and Dan Haren, with a total of seven runs.

 

Thursday Game Set-Up
Miami just dropped two of three games at Washington this week, losing Monday 6-4, winning Tuesday 2-1 then losing Wednesday's rubber match 7-5. The Marlins trailed Wednesday 7-2, as Nats OF Bryce Harper bombed three home runs, then rallied to within 7-5 and had the tying runs on base when the game ended.

Prior to that series Miami had taken two of three games from Philadelphia; just before that the Marlins took two of three from the Mets; just before that they swept three games from Washington; and just before that they took two of three from Philly. So Miami is 4-1 in its last five series.

San Francisco just took two of three games from San Diego, winning Monday 2-0 and Tuesday 6-0 before losing Wednesday 9-1. In fact, Giants pitching threw three shutouts in a row, going back to Sunday's 5-0 blanking of the Angels.

San Francisco swept three games from the Halos last weekend; going back a little further the Giants are 3-1-1 over their last five series, with 10 wins in their last 14 games.

This is the first meeting between these teams this season; last year the Giants took the season series from the Marlins four games to three, with the totals going 4-3.

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Thursday's Starters
Hudson is four-for-five on quality starts this season, and two for his last two. Last Friday he held the Angels to three runs and two hits – both homers – through eight innings, and just before that he held Colorado to three runs through seven innings. For the season Hudson has given up 14 runs and 38 base-runners (29 hits + nine walks) in 33 1/3 innings of work; San Francisco is 3-2 in Hudson's starts, with the totals skewing toward the UNDERS by a 4-1 margin.

Last year Hudson faced Miami once, allowing one run and eight hits through 7 1/3 innings of a 5-3 Giants victory.

Haren is three-for-five on quality starts this year. Last Saturday he threw six innings of four-hit, shutout ball against Philadelphia, and just before that he gave up two runs in five innings against Washington. For the season Haren has allowed nine runs and 26 base-runners through 30 innings; Miami is 4-1 in Haren's starts, with the totals tilting toward the OVERS by a 4-0-1 margin, thanks largely to some good run support.

Last year, pitching for the Dodgers, Haren started once against the Giants, holding them to one earned run and one hit through seven innings, with zero walks and seven strikeouts, in a game LA eventually lost 5-2.

If this game comes down to the bullpens San Francisco holds an edge; Giants relievers rank 10th in the Majors with a 3.13 ERA, with eight saves in 10 chances, while Miami's pen ranks 24th in ERA at 4.28, with twice as many blown saves, six, as save conversions, three.

 

Thursday's Batting Splits
Miami owns a .319 team OPB and a .371 team slugging percentage against right-handed pitching this season.

San Francisco owns a .319 OBP and a .378 slugging percentage against righties.

 

Marlins-Giants Free Pick
Both these teams are recovering after slow starts to this season, and both have been playing some good ball as of late. Also, both starting pitchers have been good so far this season. Ultimately, San Francisco owns an advantage in the bullpen, so we like the Giants to take tonight's series opener. Also, with the totals skewing toward the UNDERS by an 11-5 margin in games played at AT&T Park this season we like the UNDER for tonight's MLB picks.

Free MLB Picks: San Francisco -122 at GT Bets and UNDER seven runs (+102) at Pinnacle

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