Giants, Dodgers to stay ‘under’ Again is Your MLB Pick

LT Profits Sports Group

Wednesday, April 29, 2015 5:45 PM UTC

Wednesday, Apr. 29, 2015 5:45 PM UTC

Each day the LT Profits Sports Group seeks out a total that simply does not add up and therefore offers the most value that day. Here is their Total Value Play of the Day for Wednesday.


Following a great pitching duel as expected last night, look for another ‘under’ Wednesday night even with a much less glamorous matchup when Ryan Vogelsong and the San Francisco Giants (9-12, 5-6 away) visit the fellow right-hander Zack Greinke and the Los Angeles Dodgers (12-8, 9-2 home) in the final game of a three-game series from Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, CA at 10:10 ET in a game available locally in the Bay Area on NBC.

The posted total at Pinnacle Sports is 7 for this contest with the current odds on the ‘under’ set at a positive +105.

Staff Aces Held Bats in Check
As expected, staff aces Clayton Kershaw and Madison Bumgarner had a good old fashioned pitchers’ duel on Tuesday with the Giants emerging victorious 2-1, much to our delight as we cashed San Francisco as a nice underdog! That result still leaves the Dodgers atop the National League West and the defending World Champion Giants in last place, but that means very little at this early stage of the season with the two teams separated by just 3½ games.

The Dodgers had been the winning MLB picks in eight straight home games prior to last night after losing their home opener, but their offense took another hit yesterday when Carl Crawford was placed on the Disabled List with a torn oblique, joining the already disabled Yasiel Puig who is out with a hamstring strain.

Not Many Better Second Starters than Greinke
Still, the Dodgers certainly have the pitching to carry a bit of a depleted offense as tonight’s starter Greinke is one of the best second starters in the majors and would be the ace on just about any other staff that did not have a guy named Kershaw. Greinke comes off of another gem as he held the San Diego Padres scoreless on juts four hits in seven innings in his last start on Friday.

That leaves Greinke at 3-0 with a spiffy 1.35 ERA, 0.79 WHIP and a .170 batting average allowed with 21 strikeouts vs. five walks over four starts. Furthermore, that victory made it 14 straight wins for him vs. National League West teams and he is obviously facing another one tonight.

Greinke is a perfect 5-0 lifetime in seven starts vs. the Giants with a 1.99 ERA, 0.99 WHIP and an amazing ratio of 46 strikeouts vs. seven walks against them over 45.1 innings.

Nice Start in Return to Rotation
With that being said, the Dodger injuries do not make it a given that Greinke will get the win again here, especially of Vogelsong continues his uncanny success vs. Los Angeles. Vogelsong was an All-Star in 2011 and he followed that up with another nice season in 2012. However, he tailed off considerably the last two years and was demoted to the bullpen after getting rocked for seven runs in 4.2 innings in his first start in Arizona this year.

As fate would have it though, injuries to Jake Peavy and Matt Cain prompted Manager Bruce Bochy to move him back into the starting rotation, and Vogelsong pitched well in his return vs. these Dodgers last Thursday when he allowed two runs on two solo homers and just three hits in six innings with five strikeouts vs. one walk. That prompted Bochy to announce that Vogelsong is staying in the rotation as of now.

Vogelsong Pitches well at Dodger Stadium
And Vogelsong has had good success here in Dodger Stadium, as he is 2-0 with a 3.38 ERA his last six starts here allowing one run or less in three of those starts and three runs or less in four of them. Finally, both bullpens are in good form with the Dodgers’ pen owning a 2.17 ERA over the last 10 games and the San Francisco pen sitting at 2.81 over this same span.

Thus all the ingredients seem to be in place for another ‘under’ when San Francisco visits Los Angeles on Wednesday.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":, "sportsbooksIds":[19,43,227,1096,999996,93,238,123,139], "LineTypeId":5, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

MLB Pick: Giants, Dodgers ‘under’ 7 (+105)

comment here