Although he has struggled recently on the road, I am backing Chase Anderson and the Arizona Diamondbacks today on the plus money line against the S.F. Giants for my MLB picks.
Where is the Value?
With Madison Bumgarner on the mound for the Giants they are a pretty strong favorite. MLB odds makers have made this line though a bit too high in my opinion and Bookmaker has the best odds for Dback backers at +153.
The Name and the Numbers
It is always tempting to take a big name pitcher, but in this spot the value on the plus money is too good to pass up. Bumgarner comes in with a 3.38 ERA and 1.07 WHIP and is one of the best pitchers in major baseball. Arizona though has seen him twice this season already and has had some success against him going for 12 hits in 14 innings and five earned runs with a couple homers. Chase Anderson takes the mound for the Dbacks and has a really odd season so far. In eleven starts he only has two decisions going 1-1. On the year his numbers are solid with a 3.12 ERA and 1.22 WHIP and this will be his first career starts against the Giants.
A Different Angle
Both the Dbacks and Giants are ranked in the upper half of the league in most offensive categories. But my main concern is the Giants coming back from a long road trip. They had a nice home game their first game back in their most recent trip but in the other three games they only scored 0, 3 and 2 runs, it is not easy to come back and be productive after traveling for awhile.
Anderson should be able to keep the Giants in check today, great value on a solid pitcher even against Bumgarner.
MLB Pick: Diamondbacks +153 at BetOnline